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Tropical Major Hurricane Laura

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/2100Z 19.5N 75.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 24/0600Z 20.6N 78.3W 50 KT 60 MPH...NEAR CUBA
24H 24/1800Z 21.8N 81.7W 50 KT 60 MPH...NEAR CUBA
36H 25/0600Z 23.3N 84.9W 55 KT 65 MPH...OVER WATER
48H 25/1800Z 24.7N 87.7W 60 KT 70 MPH
60H 26/0600Z 26.1N 90.2W 75 KT 85 MPH
72H 26/1800Z 28.0N 92.5W 90 KT 105 MPH
96H 27/1800Z 32.7N 93.5W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
120H 28/1800Z 37.0N 88.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
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Peak winds now up to 105 mph.
 
I wonder if Marco doesn't strengthen or if it collapses if that would help Laura become even stronger.
 
18z ICON has Laura making landfall as a 980 mb hurricane in the Lousiana coast. A little east of the 12z run earlier.
 
Brick Tamland said:
I wonder if Marco doesn't strengthen or if it collapses if that would help Laura become even stronger.
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Levi mentioned that in his video actually — if Marco is closer to Laura (or keeps together longer) it could induce a SE->NW low level flow that would create some sheer against the more ESE->WNW mid level flow.
 
Looks like a nice convection burst is poping over the center atm. Maybe it will help it sustain some of its strength as it passes over the mountains of SE Cuba.
 
958 mb close to landfall this time (near the TX/LA border).

I think Larry's call is probably going to look good here.
 
18z GFS makes landfall as a 958 mb hurricane on the Texas coast. Much stronger and it is southwest of the last run.
 
Laura may have a very similar track to this one.


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Also I think Marco will help out Laura by moistening things up lol.


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Last edited:
Great news for the Carolinas! Brad P. “The Carolinas will have no direct impacts from #Marco or #Laura. Also no indirect impacts from #Marco and very unlikely any from #Laura as well. The track right now of the remnants is too far west & with a ridge of high pressure parked over us means no rain.
 
GaWx said:
Agreed a cat 3 is not at all an unreasonable possibility.
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I indicated it upthread, but the US is going to dodge a big bullet if it escapes a major hit. I believe Laura will be at least a 3 when it makes landfall...as long as it avoids most of Cuba.
 
Rain Cold said:
I indicated it upthread, but the US is going to dodge a big bullet if it escapes a major hit. I believe Laura will be at least a 3 when it makes landfall...as long as it avoids most of Cuba.
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The 1900 cane went over most of Cuba.


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