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Tropical Major Hurricane Laura

BirdManDoomW said:
Great news for the Carolinas! Brad P. “The Carolinas will have no direct impacts from #Marco or #Laura. Also no indirect impacts from #Marco and very unlikely any from #Laura as well. The track right now of the remnants is too far west & with a ridge of high pressure parked over us means no rain.
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The last time that Brad said that with so much certainty this many days out was two years ago with Michael... I ended up with about 5 inches of rain and a highest wind gust of 63mph... and the center passed over my house.... Brad is great at what he does, and is probably right this time, but he sometimes is too quick to dismiss stuff
 
Rain Cold said:
I indicated it upthread, but the US is going to dodge a big bullet if it escapes a major hit. I believe Laura will be at least a 3 when it makes landfall...as long as it avoids most of Cuba.
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I agree.....the models are telling us there is a risk of a very serious disaster.....hopefully all on the Tx and La coasts are prepared with both a hurricane plan and an evacuation plan. They will only gave 3 days to implement either one.
 
BHS1975 said:
Laura may have a very similar track to this one.


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You know what's disturbing there is it also spent days over land and it didn't matter in the end
 
I don’t think it hits Texas never did. But could be wrong


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BirdManDoomW said:
well brad p is gonna have to apologize to his viewers he was on record saying no impact direct or indirect etc
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The EPS has been fairly consistent with that sharp east turn for a couple days. I still think that if it were to do that and the circulation holds together pretty well as most storms tend to do in that part of the country... it could lead to a significant severe weather outbreak for Tennessee, Northern Alabama, Northern Georgia, and the Carolinas. Also I could definitely see it regenerating once it moves off the coast.
 
BirdManDoomW said:
well brad p is gonna have to apologize to his viewers he was on record saying no impact direct or indirect etc
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Come on. He is giving his opinion. Nothing wrong with that. He also has several days to change his mind.
 
BirdManDoomW said:
well brad p is gonna have to apologize to his viewers he was on record saying no impact direct or indirect etc
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Your only as good as your equipment. He can’t help the models are all over the place with this. Plus considering the models don’t know how to handle a situation like this. It’s only happened one other time. Come on give the guy a break.
 
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Oh come on this won’t happen. 905 mB hurricane making landfall. That be the strongest ever impossible


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DarkKnight said:
Your only as good as your equipment. He can’t help the models are all over the place with this. Plus considering the models don’t know how to handle a situation like this. It’s only happened one other time. Come on give the guy a break.
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Yeah gotta give him a break during tropical season because he’s even worse when there’s a winter event threatening the area.
 
NAM 3K is the high-res version of the HWRF in terms of intensity on canes. Blows up everything.
 
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