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Tropical Major Hurricane Laura

06 NOT MUCH CHANCE ON THE LANDFALL BUT LOOKS LIKE A CAT 3 @954MB
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AND A POSS CAT 4 JUST PRIOR TO LAND FALL @948 MB
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SOME SHEAR ON THE BACK SIDE OF LAURA IS MAKING HER LOOK A "TAD" DISORGANIZED BUT AS YOU CAN SEE ON THE FRONT END THE CLOUD TOPS ARE COOLING QUITE NICELY
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Looking at #TSLaura this morning on the IR overnight Cuba has taken its toll on the system. However, the circulation is back over water. It is rebuilding north of the circulation.

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The 06z Euro is stronger, landfall as a makes landfall as a 959mb hurricane. Maxes out at at a high end cat 3 with 949mb.ecmwf-deterministic-se-mslp_anom-8504400.png
 
Th
Henry2326 said:
06Z......all in same spot
GFS. 948
ICON. 966
HWRF. 931



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The Icon is probably the worst case scenario for Galveston in terms of the track and the angle of approach... it’s very similar to Ike and the 1900 hurricane. Something still tells that this should shift back East into Louisiana... it just looks to me like it wants to follow the steering that the Bermuda high is giving it.
 
Chazwin said:
Th

The Icon is probably the worst case scenario for Galveston in terms of the track and the angle of approach... it’s very similar to Ike and the 1900 hurricane. Something still tells that this should shift back East into Louisiana... it just looks to me like it wants to follow the steering that the Bermuda high is giving it.
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Exactly that Bermuda high is why I don’t see it hitting Texas


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Marco dying off is what Laura needed to get even stronger. Instead of a cat 1 or 2 at landfall, I think we're looking at a cat 3 or 4. The question is where will it hit?
 
With the currently advertised track by the NHC this would put my location NW MS on the east side of the center. What type of impacts should we see around this area if track holds?
 
Remember a wide inland turn to the right can still mean business. 27” to be exact. 2B59CAC6-651E-496B-9880-A392EC7AF981.jpeg
 
NWMSGuy said:
With the currently advertised track by the NHC this would put my location NW MS on the east side of the center. What type of impacts should we see around this area if track holds?
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You would more then likely get some feeder bands and wind gust up to 45mph. Possible tornados (this threat would only last 4-8hours) the system will be picked up by our zonal flow over the U.S. It is especially strong right now (bringing cooler weather in the East.)


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@SD has requested on a couple of occasions to stop using this site to criticize mets. You want to do that, use your social media platform, it's called professional courtesy and you never know who might actually be using this forum. Thank you. Now I'll be deleting some post
 
Does anyone know what Robert on wxsouth is thinking for Laura and our region
 
metwannabe said:
@SD has requested on a couple of occasions to stop using this site to criticize mets. You want to do that, use your social media platform, it's called professional courtesy and you never know who might actually be using this forum. Thank you. Now I'll be deleting some post
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Yeah......it hasn't been easy trying to get folks to appear on a southernwx show. Just sayin.
 
Jessy89 said:
How about Chris Justice he’s young enthusiastic he might go on. He’s also knowledgeable


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Not a bad idea, though there might be some conflicting time//broadcasts if it's during the evening.
While we're on the subject of TV Mets, I'm just throwing out there Tim Buckley or Christian Morgan at WFMY?
 
Saturday looks most severe for Appalachian Mountain chain with a few tornadoes if that strong low pressure verifies on the euro across Kentucky. ESP Virginia but wouldn’t rule out NC as much as it’s changing day to day.
 
BirdManDoomW said:
Saturday looks most severe for Appalachian Mountain chain with a few tornadoes if that strong low pressure verifies on the euro across Kentucky. ESP Virginia but wouldn’t rule out NC as much as it’s changing day to day.
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Saturday also looks windy across north Georgia and the Carolinas. Alabama and the panhandle looks to see a severe outbreak Friday. Not as bad across the Carolinas on Saturday.

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I think NHC will move the cone into just Texas eventually at this rate. I see shifts west south coming
 
BirdManDoomW said:
I said few days ago it could stay below Cuba for the majority of time and was disliked for it
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We all get the same data, but we all form our own forecast. I do remember you saying something like that a few days ago. Nobody would have guessed the MLC and LLC would be tilted and to this day we really don’t have a dominate LP. But congratulations on your guess. Lol.


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Laura has always been tricky because of it’s relocating low pressures. That’s why I can’t and won’t criticize anyone with this storm. This is a tricky forecast. Every time a new center forms the forecast has a chance of changing. I still think Louisiana landfall that big Bermuda should turn it before getting to Texas. But again that’s my opinion


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