Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 2)

[deltadog03]

The turn is coming folks. The trof/weak

Looks like a turn North should take place soon

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here was the map from 3 hours ago. You can see the trof starting to dip down

 

[Jackstraw]

2 minor things -
1) No real change from 2:00 PM officially; and
2) It is about time for now-casting.
Having said as much, my gut tells me more east by about 20 - 40 miles since that looks like the path of least resistance, at this point in time, anyway (sure to change in 3 hours) ...

You could be right. Its a big 'ol pinball right now. Somethings got to give lol.

 

[accu35]

they want nothing to do with Florida

 

[Jackstraw]

View attachment 1168 The turn is coming folks. The trof/weak

here was the map from 3 hours ago. You can see the trof starting to dip down

Oh your right the SW rounding the base of the main trof is coming, no doubt, it's almost there. Odds are it's going to get picked up. Once again, how aggressively. Like I said, big slow down to a stall basically is 1 of 2 things, its getting ready to turn or it gets missed.

 

[Jackstraw]

Here's your real time UL winds, good 'ol WV loops lol.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/comp/ceus/flash-wv.html

 

[Brick Tamland]

5pm update, track is now more west and NHC is projecting Irma to remain a hurricane up to GA.

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And a major hurricane pretty much all the way through Florida. I

 

[Xtreme Weather]

View attachment 1168 The turn is coming folks. The trof/weak

here was the map from 3 hours ago. You can see the trof starting to dip down

These are delayed upper level winds bud


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[pcbjr]

Here's your real time UL winds, good 'ol WV loops lol.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/comp/ceus/flash-wv.html

and this shows the tension ...
https://atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/wxloop.cgi?wv_east_enhanced+12

 

[accu35]

You can see the W/WNW movement still

 

[Storm5]

You can see the W/WNW movement still

Looks SW of the forecast track

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[Xtreme Weather]

Took about 2 hours to move 6 miles but like others pointing out last 30 minutes seems to be chugging WNW

 

[deltadog03]

These are delayed upper level winds bud


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True but point is the weakness is dropping south

 

[pcbjr]

Looks SW of the forecast track

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It is, and it's going to either bump into the dig up top and swing north, or cut underneath and give everyone a forecasting black eye

 

[VegasEagle]

Waves getting bigger on Key West cam

 

[Xtreme Weather]

Appears the outer eye wall about to close off soon dbz really increased

 

[GaWx]

I think she is on the verge of a turn. I just took another look at some 6 hour interval 12Z Euro maps I have. They showed the current actual position to be right where the 12Z Euro 12 hour map had her. Furthermore, that Euro showed her 6 hour averaged movement from 2PM til 8PM to average just a little N of due W. The next map, the hour 18 map for 2AM EDT, shows quite a dramatic turn to the NNW. So, in deference to the Euro and when considering the recent stall, I think we're just about to see the turn to the NNW commence. Other opinions? This is like the most important part of the track right here!

 

[WeatherWatch]

It appears that it's on the WNW track now, but then again it still looks like it still has a westerly movement to it.

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[deltadog03]

 

[pcbjr]

It appears that it's on the WNW track now, but then again it still looks like it still has a westerly movement to it.

damn bumper pool - i always hated that game ...

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[pcbjr]

View attachment 1169

and Bingo was his name, oh