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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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metwannabe said:
Euro speeding things up a little and possibly threatening the Islands Tuesday.... also its moving due west at this hour
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Thisbrun won't end well I think. Unless it goes straight through the islands. That through looks like it will go north of the system. Next frame looks like it's headed for the islands.
 
This model watching is fun, even if no snow is involved! Who's staying up for the Euro? :)
What's the K name??
 
I think it still gets a window of opportunity to recurve ots but it's gonna pay a visit to the Bahamas first and again the EC pucker meter is going up
 
Nope I think the trough leaves it behind..... man going to be a long 10 days to 2 weeks
 
Trough is weak this run, the Gulf low doesn't even get picked up, it looks like it's trying to maybe miss at 240 hours though, really slows to a crawl in the Bahamas
 
Well, that was an interesting 12z Euro run. As Irma is making it's way closer to the US, it pushes that wave down in the GOM. The trough does lift as Irma makes it's way closer to the US as well which is opening the doors for Irma.

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Everybody's favorite met, JB, has a FB post that says the SW jog of Irma, could lead to Ike - like strengthening!
 
metwannabe said:
Oh boy
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I don't like to hype up the tropics, but if this solution occur we could be dealing with another Hugo situation along the SE coast somewhere!! Over the last couple of years I notice its like a guard is along the East Coast that don't allow Hurricanes to come on shore!!
 
metwannabe said:
Oh boy
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That's weird run! It just leaves the gulf " disturbance " in the same area for awhile, then just drops it south, the trough misses it and misses Irmo, to let it smash Florida! :(
 
And if you look at the overall pressures around it, they are lower than normal. I would say there is a shot it could get really strong.
 
He has nearly 40k followers, this will get re-tweeted like crazy, not too mention the air time he will get..... this may eventually be the case (and certainly may not) but it is just irresponsible to post this crap imo
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who uncancelled the hurricane season? lmao

I scrolled back somewhere else in a Texas thread 11 days ago and people were lamenting how storms never happen in the Western Gulf and the Atlantic just isn't interesting anymore :eek:
 
ForsythSnow said:
Cat 2 in 2 days... this is going to get strong fast.
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I'm honestly surprised how fast it has intensified here, considering the environment after a few days won't get any worse, I wouldn't be shocked if Puerto Rico and the northern islands are staring down the barrel of or are just south of a category 4 monster in about a week
 
this could already be a hurricane

I am shocked for the 2nd time in 5 days by the atlantic and this one is just getting started

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If it bombs out and goes major hurricane in the Atlantic, best it does it in the middle of the ocean, it won't be able to sustain itself on the 4-5 day track towards the US, if it ever is a threat!
 
I think Irma will start to gain speed. The reason why I think that is becuase a faster moving TC rapidly gains strength vs a slower moving TC.

A realistic speed that I'm thinking is 20-25mph. It possibly could start moving at that speed late this weekend. From the 5pm update, Irma is already moving at 15mph.

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