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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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Looks like new ew about complete and cloud tops getting colder again, maybe about to take off one more time... also still gaining latitude decreasing chances of Cuba interaction I'm afraid
 
This is messy
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Lmao, what is NAM doing? This is going to be a funny run.
 
This might actually go ots the trough in the NE is cut off and unless something happens Irma will go NE from here on out. Such a big change at h5 it's really hard to believe

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Yeah, what is the NAM doing? I don't think Irma will go that far east. Not unless that trough up to the north and east pushes it OTS but I doubt it.
 
ForsythSnow said:
I am sure it is just smelling the nose plugs it has in. H5 matters, and the NAM only covers North America, and doesn't focus too much on everything at a high resolution. Watch the HMON and HWRF over the nam 100 times.
Click to expand...
Lol, it was sniffing out the flow over the conus yeah, maybe nose to the ground, but it has no clue whats going on with the ridge over the Atlantic.
 
This run though. It's merging with the trough at 75. It's either going to scream straight up the eastern seaboard or take a hard left into NC Va

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