Tropical Major Hurricane Helene

[MichaelAndrews]

Think that east shift will make things much worse in CAE than most around here are expecting
However GSP looks like a bullseye right now

 

[Belle Lechat]

622 AM EDT THU SEP 26 2024

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTH CENTRAL COLLIER COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 630 AM EDT.

* AT 622 AM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR CHOKOLOSKEE, MOVING NORTH AT 60 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.


* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CHOKOLOSKEE, EVERGLADES CITY, AND PLANTATION ISLAND.

...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM,

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Tarheel1]

With this look and all the lopsided convection and dry air wrapping in, I don’t see this becoming a Cat 3, imo

 

[Belle Lechat]

Heading for another center reading

 

[Belle Lechat]

629 AM EDT THU SEP 26 2024

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTH CENTRAL COLLIER COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 645 AM EDT.

* AT 629 AM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED OVER EVERGLADES CITY, MOVING NORTH AT 60 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.


* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CHOKOLOSKEE, EVERGLADES CITY, PLANTATION ISLAND, CARNESTOWN,
COPELAND, SOUTH BLOCKS GOLDE, FAKAHATCHEE STRAND STATE PRESERVE,
PICAYUNE STRAND STATE FOREST, AND PORT OF THE ISLAND.


TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM,

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Tarheel1]

Dryslot gonna keep this from being a lot worse! Latest GFS

 

[Stevo24]

Dryslot gonna keep this from being a lot worse! Latest GFSView attachment 151928
View attachment 151929View attachment 151930

It’s almost never as bad as it’s made out to be.There’s always potential for it to be but usually never pans out.

 

[DustinWx]

Pressure keeps dropping. Dry air is gone and recon shows a closed eyewall.

 

[ForsythSnow]

Pressure keeps dropping. Dry air is gone and recon shows a closed eyewall.

Cat 3 FL winds now on the east side. It's bomb time most likely the moment hot towers go up on the west side unless the dropping pressure/increasing winds spread the rest around faster.

 

[Shaggy]

With the shifts overnight to the east, it’s pushing the tornado threat overnight today and early Friday that way.




View attachment 151924

Hrrr Says central.and eastern NC have tornado problems

 

[Carolina Sky]

Maybe it won't be a cat 3, but I think the big problem is going to be rain and the tornado threat.

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Engeo]

It’s almost never as bad as it’s made out to be.There’s always potential for it to be but usually never pans out.

It seems like dry air always finds its way in, no matter what. Very interesting.

 

[Metwannabe]

Hrrr Says central.and eastern NC have tornado problems View attachment 151933

Yep, with the slight shift east the severe threat here tomorrow is getting a little attention

 

[NCSNOW]

Anyone got the past 24 hrs rainfall qpf map. The apps from north GA, especially NC have been getting trained over for about 12 straight hours now. Thanks in advance

 

[Metwannabe]

Maybe it won't be a cat 3, but I think the big problem is going to be rain and the tornado threat.

Winds will still be huge issue for Fl, inland Ga and upstate SC, even mountains of NC due to forward speed and energy from the interaction from the ULL. Whether its hits as a 4, 3 or 2 I believe those factors don't really change the possible impacts well inland

 

[packfan98]

Good morning folks. There are many of you posting banter that’s cluttering up thread. Also, we are going to have a lot of new traffic here today, so let’s keep most of the funny and sarcastic posts out of this thread. We don’t want anyone to get the wrong idea.
Thanks and be safe!

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Anyone got the past 24 hrs rainfall qpf map. The apps from north GA, especially NC have been getting trained over for about 12 straight hours now. Thanks in advance

I don’t have a map but I can give you some ground reports from around here. McDowell county 7-11 inches of rain so far with multiple swift water rescues done overnight. All before the main event.