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Tropical Major Hurricane Helene

Shawn said:
Makes you wonder if they plan to go ahead and give it a name by morning. We are in an odd situation with formation to landfall.. not very long between the two. Easier to have media attention with a name.
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Local news here has been hyping it. Wife and I were refilling our cars and gas cans at Kroger today with our .40cents off per gallon and we weren't the only ones.
 
0Z Euro a bit delayed in landfalling on the US vs earlier runs with 985 mb midnight Thu night Big Bend. Still 987 Athens Fri AM (hardly any weakening due to moving an avg of 25 mph!)
 
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Metwannabe said:
Hurricane Ian in 2022 was probably the last "big" miss for NHC, the image below was on Sept. 25th and 3 days later it made landfall around Fort Myers (just north of FM but in southern part of state). Although to be fair, it was right on the eastern edge of the cone and due to angle of the coast that couple hundred mile miss to the east was costly along the coastline of Fl

***NOT CURRENT***
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The UKMET model was an outlier that was far to the SE of the Euro and especially the GFS/CMC. It ended up very close days in advance. UK isn’t always the best and can be lousy just like any model is at times. But it was amazing for Ian. The Icon was second best.
 
vtrap90 said:
Hurricane John in EPAC is feeding tons of moisture into PTC9 (Helene). Several models under 930mb in there 00z runs. Don't look at the NAM 3K. Cause I'll post it here for you.

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To save the curious time looking it up,

Rita reached a peak intensity of category 5 with sustained winds of 180 mph and a minimum pressure of 895 millibars, making it the strongest hurricane ever recorded in the Gulf of Mexico.
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0Z UKMET: Apalachicola late Thu night then to Atlanta area in only ~12 hours due to moving on average ~25 mph!

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09L ANALYSED POSITION : 18.1N 81.8W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092024

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 24.09.2024 0 18.1N 81.8W 1003 32
1200UTC 24.09.2024 12 19.7N 83.9W 1003 36
0000UTC 25.09.2024 24 19.8N 85.6W 999 36
1200UTC 25.09.2024 36 21.3N 86.4W 995 41
0000UTC 26.09.2024 48 22.9N 86.5W 992 39
1200UTC 26.09.2024 60 24.8N 86.1W 991 43
0000UTC 27.09.2024 72 28.1N 85.5W 988 52
1200UTC 27.09.2024 84 31.9N 84.8W 989 37
0000UTC 28.09.2024 96 37.0N 85.8W 994 24
1200UTC 28.09.2024 108 40.2N 90.4W 1000 25
0000UTC 29.09.2024 120 CEASED TRACKING
 
MOV8-4.09L.GIF
 
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