Michael and Ian are the only thing making me not agree. It really depends on storm structure and how fast it organizes. Modeling indicates it's a hurricane when it reaches the gulf, so if it isn't, it'll be weaker than a 4 .Not enough time to get to a cat 5 I don’t think
Cat 4 pushing 5 easy. Bet on itAs my experience I've been tracking storm since 2000 I must say this is going to be a cat 3 moving very fast I don't see this getting a cat 5 or 4
Then Charley rapidly intensified, strengthening from a 110 mph (175 km/h) hurricane with a minimum central barometric pressure of 965 mbar (965 hPa; 28.5 inHg) to a 145 mph (235 km/h) hurricane with a pressure of 947 mbar (947 hPa; 28.0 inHg) in just three hours. ItNot enough time to get to a cat 5 I don’t think
If I'm taking a guess, it'll be further west this run since the ULL and storm will begin pivoting sooner. Already a touch west prior than 6Z.ULL is deeper but slower on the GFS through 60.
I thought it would have too. There was a little more separation between the ULL and the storm allowing the NNE movement to continue on this run.If I'm taking a guess, it'll be further west this run since the ULL and storm will begin pivoting sooner. Already a touch west prior than 6Z.
As of 84 it's already on land but still 30 or so miles NW.
I bet you're a cookie don't get a cat 5 or cat 4Cat 4 pushing 5 easy. Bet on it
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LOL,That hole over ATL makes no sense whatsoever...
Dry slot ?LOL,That hole over ATL makes no sense whatsoever...
LOL,That hole over ATL makes no sense whatsoever...
Not buying it.Dry slot ?
The “Glenn Burns Atlanta Heat Island” (TM)Dry slot ?
That’s where the eye goes overLOL,That hole over ATL makes no sense whatsoever...
Agree, too far east.GFS is on its own with the Eastward projection but I'd assume that low rainfall spot is some kind of meteorological nonsense involving dry air intrusion from the upper level low but idk
I bet not!Not buying it.
So, what, are you trying to dig at me or something? Just makes no sense!I bet not!
888 MB!Unsure if I’m looking at a hurricane intensity model or this secretly the NAM in disguise??? 903mb in 66 hours
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Not at all. I know you all need rain. No one knows a thing at the momentSo, what, are you trying to dig at me or something? Just makes no sense!
Might not get that strong, but I would not be surprised at all to see it blow up quickly. That's the way it's been with the Gulf storms the past few years.HAFS A stands for HAFS Apocalyptic. I have to question how valid this is or if we are actually about to see the strongest hurricane ever. I'm leaning the former where it's overdone.
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Can you post the gefs at landfall?I thought this was an interesting image off GEFS. Almost seems like theres two camps:
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