Tropical Major Hurricane Helene

MichaelJ · 2024-09-26T18:16:53-0400

PLEASE, if you live in or near the path of this storms eye on the coast, LEAVE NOW. This thing is likely to push 20-22 feet of surge at landfall point

TerryInTucker · 2024-09-26T18:17:12-0400

Shawn said:
Welp. This is very bad. Good luck everyone. I must now depart and baton down the hatches.

View attachment 152055

What does this mean, please?

lexxnchloe · 2024-09-26T18:17:38-0400

Normally i would say cut these down by 40% but its going to be deepening right to landfall and its going to be flying north so fast it may produce Hazel like gusts.

Makeitsnow · 2024-09-26T18:18:03-0400

Incredible to see hurricane warnings so far north. Still think ffc have wind gusts at my local athens too low. Only showing 50 to 60mph gusts while gsp has their southwest counties with gusts to 65. Fully expect hurricane force gusts here. Heavy rain currently..up to about 5.5 inches so far.

Shawn · 2024-09-26T18:18:30-0400

TerryInTucker said:
What does this mean, please?

At it's current intensification rate, we are looking at a cat 4, probably at least medium end before landfall and a pressure around 931mb.

Shawn · 2024-09-26T18:19:37-0400

There it is, she is now cat 4.

Code:

684 
WTNT64 KNHC 262218
TCUAT4

Hurricane Helene Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092024
620 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...HELENE NOW AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...

A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft currently investigating Helene 
recently found that the maximum sustained winds have increased to 
130 mph (215 km/h).  The minimum central pressure has also decreased 
to 947 mb (27.96 inches) based on dropsonde data.

SUMMARY OF 620 PM EDT...2220 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.0N 84.5W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM W OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM S OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.96 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Bucci/Pasch

Arcc · 2024-09-26T18:19:57-0400

RoddyPiper said:
Just thinking the same think looking at KTLH

Yeah, the eye went from ~22 miles to 14 miles in thirty minutes.

RoddyPiper · 2024-09-26T18:21:15-0400

Brad Arnold has a jam up view from Crawfordville, FL

Triplephase93 · 2024-09-26T18:21:42-0400

Officially cat 4 now. 130mph winds

Stormsfury · 2024-09-26T18:21:56-0400

Folks, roughly 946mb, 130 to 135kt FL winds, we have a Cat4 Folks

RoddyPiper · 2024-09-26T18:23:11-0400

Arcc said:
Yeah, the eye went from ~22 miles to 14 miles in thirty minutes.

Incredible consolidation

Chazwin · 2024-09-26T18:23:22-0400

Arcc said:
Yeah, the eye went from ~22 miles to 14 miles in thirty minutes.

Hopefully with it tightening that quick perhaps we could see an EWRC before she hits

RoddyPiper · 2024-09-26T18:23:53-0400

Western wall becoming more impressive with winds as well

SuperNET · 2024-09-26T18:25:09-0400

Ethan80963 said:

Big event for the NC mountains and escarpment. Asheville (Swannanoa river) Black Mountain, Old Fort, Marion, Upper Catawba river (Catawba Falls) going to rival Opal in 1996 which was extreme flooding. Catawba river in Pleasant Gardens I think will challenge record river gauge at 17.6

Catawba River near Pleasant Gardens

water.noaa.gov

severestorm · 2024-09-26T18:29:04-0400

Arcc said:
Yeah, the eye went from ~22 miles to 14 miles in thirty minutes.

if that's before RECON flew through it before this happened. i'm scared to know what it is now.

severestorm · 2024-09-26T18:30:16-0400

SuperNET said:
Big event for the NC mountains and escarpment. Asheville (Swannanoa river) Black Mountain, Old Fort, Marion, Upper Catawba river (Catawba Falls) going to rival Opal in 1996 which was extreme flooding. Catawba river in Pleasant Gardens I think will challenge record river gauge at 17.6

Catawba River near Pleasant Gardens

water.noaa.gov

Asheville spent Millions on the River Arts District. Apartment complex just got approved. It will all be under water.

crecre9 · 2024-09-26T18:30:46-0400

Arcc said:
Interesting dynamic, IR is probably the best it has looked but the eyewall on radar has degraded tremendously on the western side over the past hour. That said that isn’t unexpected in hurricanes under these circumstances.

That said that eastern wall is a beast.

I think what you are seeing is that the radar beam isn't able to penetrate the Eastern eye wall twice, so you simply can't see it on radar.

Weatherlover92 · 2024-09-26T18:33:36-0400

Makeitsnow said:
Incredible to see hurricane warnings so far north. Still think ffc have wind gusts at my local athens too low. Only showing 50 to 60mph gusts while gsp has their southwest counties with gusts to 65. Fully expect hurricane force gusts here. Heavy rain currently..up to about 5.5 inches so far.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see FFC consider extending hurricane warnings further north into some NE GA counties. I’m curious if it’s even a possible scenario currently being discussed.

BHS1975 · 2024-09-26T18:33:53-0400

Seeing a lot of meso vorts.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Drizzle Snizzle · 2024-09-26T18:36:29-0400

Weatherlover92 said:
I wouldn’t be surprised to see FFC consider extending hurricane warnings further north into some NE GA counties. I’m curious if it’s even a possible scenario currently being discussed.

I think Athens will eventually be under a Hurricane Warning