MichaelJ
Member
PLEASE, if you live in or near the path of this storms eye on the coast, LEAVE NOW. This thing is likely to push 20-22 feet of surge at landfall point
What does this mean, please?Welp. This is very bad. Good luck everyone. I must now depart and baton down the hatches.
View attachment 152055
At it's current intensification rate, we are looking at a cat 4, probably at least medium end before landfall and a pressure around 931mb.What does this mean, please?
684
WTNT64 KNHC 262218
TCUAT4
Hurricane Helene Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092024
620 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024
...HELENE NOW AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...
A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft currently investigating Helene
recently found that the maximum sustained winds have increased to
130 mph (215 km/h). The minimum central pressure has also decreased
to 947 mb (27.96 inches) based on dropsonde data.
SUMMARY OF 620 PM EDT...2220 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.0N 84.5W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM W OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM S OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.96 INCHES
$$
Forecaster Bucci/Pasch
Just thinking the same think looking at KTLH
Incredible consolidationYeah, the eye went from ~22 miles to 14 miles in thirty minutes.
Hopefully with it tightening that quick perhaps we could see an EWRC before she hitsYeah, the eye went from ~22 miles to 14 miles in thirty minutes.
if that's before RECON flew through it before this happened. i'm scared to know what it is now.Yeah, the eye went from ~22 miles to 14 miles in thirty minutes.
Asheville spent Millions on the River Arts District. Apartment complex just got approved. It will all be under water.Big event for the NC mountains and escarpment. Asheville (Swannanoa river) Black Mountain, Old Fort, Marion, Upper Catawba river (Catawba Falls) going to rival Opal in 1996 which was extreme flooding. Catawba river in Pleasant Gardens I think will challenge record river gauge at 17.6
Catawba River near Pleasant Gardens
water.noaa.gov
I think what you are seeing is that the radar beam isn't able to penetrate the Eastern eye wall twice, so you simply can't see it on radar.Interesting dynamic, IR is probably the best it has looked but the eyewall on radar has degraded tremendously on the western side over the past hour. That said that isn’t unexpected in hurricanes under these circumstances.
That said that eastern wall is a beast.
I wouldn’t be surprised to see FFC consider extending hurricane warnings further north into some NE GA counties. I’m curious if it’s even a possible scenario currently being discussed.Incredible to see hurricane warnings so far north. Still think ffc have wind gusts at my local athens too low. Only showing 50 to 60mph gusts while gsp has their southwest counties with gusts to 65. Fully expect hurricane force gusts here. Heavy rain currently..up to about 5.5 inches so far.
I think Athens will eventually be under a Hurricane WarningI wouldn’t be surprised to see FFC consider extending hurricane warnings further north into some NE GA counties. I’m curious if it’s even a possible scenario currently being discussed.