Tropical Major Hurricane Helene

[SuperNET]

Asheville spent Millions on the River Arts District. Apartment complex just got approved. It will all be under water.

I hope not - but you have the Swannanoa and the French Broad both experiencing major flooding as per water.noaa.gov gauge data suggests. If this qpf outlook validates - and we see another 10-12" on top of what was recorded yesterday, today and tomorrow - there will be big problems in Asheville and surrounding areas.

 

[RoddyPiper]

I think Athens will eventually be under a Hurricane Warning

Definitely a high TIDE warning come Saturday….banter, sorry

 

[mrdaddyman]

Still running East of forecast track:

 

[Twister]

I think Athens will eventually be under a Hurricane Warning

Heck at this rate NW upstate will be under hurricane warning!

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[SuperNET]

Swannanoa River at Biltmore, NC

Swannanoa River at Biltmore, NC

Monitoring location 03451000 is associated with a Stream in Buncombe County, North Carolina. Current conditions of Discharge, Gage height, Precipitation, and more are available. Water data back to 1791 are available online.

waterdata.usgs.gov

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Heck at this rate NW upstate will be under hurricane warning!

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Very possible

 

[severestorm]

 

[MichaelJ]

This could come ashore at 933MB with 145winds sustained and a 20 ft surge. this is a big and intense storm, get out of its way if you can

 

[Shawn]

uh oh.

                     UW - CIMSS                    
              ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE      
                    ADT-Version 9.1               
         Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm      

             ----- Current Analysis -----
     Date :  26 SEP 2024    Time :   221020 UTC
      Lat :   27:54:35 N     Lon :   84:18:00 W

    
                CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
                6.3 / 929.2mb/122.2kt

    
             Final T#  Adj T#  Raw T#
                6.3     6.3     6.9

 

[Shawn]

If this keeps up, shes going to make a run at a Raw T# of 7 and probably an adjustment to 6.5-.6.6 and possibly a pressure around 922mb.

All of this is half-way informed guesswork though

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

uh oh.

                     UW - CIMSS                   
              ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE     
                    ADT-Version 9.1              
         Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm     

             ----- Current Analysis -----
     Date :  26 SEP 2024    Time :   221020 UTC
      Lat :   27:54:35 N     Lon :   84:18:00 W

   
                CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
                6.3 / 929.2mb/122.2kt

   
             Final T#  Adj T#  Raw T#
                6.3     6.3     6.9

Storms just don’t weaken in the gulf. Quite the opposite. They always get worse.

 

[Arcc]

I think what you are seeing is that the radar beam isn't able to penetrate the Eastern eye wall twice, so you simply can't see it on radar.

I guess it is possible, but earlier I could see both walls pretty well for pretty much most of the day and other radars though far away showed the same. The western side has been weaker, but that consolidation earlier was impressive.

 

[Henry2326]

If this keeps up, shes going to make a run at a Raw T# of 7 and probably an adjustment to 6.5-.6.6 and possibly a pressure around 922mb.

All of this is half-way informed guesswork though

Hwrf and Hmon been screaming this for 4 days....

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Strongest wording I’ve seen from gsp for a cane

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Can someone post some good live cams for when this thing makes landfall

 

[SuperNET]

View attachment 1520623 of these locations will possible break all time records - impressive. McDowell County is not in a good place either. French Board in Fletcher could break record by almost 10' - that's crazy

 

[Ethan80963]

 

[superjames1992]

The track is going to be important. The only semi major metro area near where its landfalling is Tallahassee (which is well inland, but will have significant wind impacts depending on the track), but it looks like they could sneak by just west of the eye depending on how things develop. That would be huge for them as it’s much weaker on the western side at this point. It’s important to note KTLH is southwest of town itself.

 

[Shawn]

942mb picked up. this is getting intense. 5mb drop since cat 4 designation if the reading is accurate

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

The track is going to be important. The only semi major metro area near where its landfalling is Tallahassee (which is well inland, but will have significant wind impacts depending on the track), but it looks like they could sneak by just west of the eye depending on how things develop. That would be huge for them as it’s much weaker on the western side at this point. It’s important to note KTLH is southwest of town itself.

I've gotta think that even if they're on the west side, they'll at least get Hurricane gusts ? Heck way up in GA 200 miles north is forecast to get Hurricane gusts on the west side of the storm.