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Tropical MAJOR Hurricane Beryl 2024

18Z Euro vs 12Z slightly N at Jamaica (right over it) followed by 70 miles further N at Yucatan and 150 miles further NE in BoC, where run ends at 90. Implies much further N landfall in W GOM had it gone further.
 
HOT TOWERS ARE FIRING OFF ALL AROND THE EYE AND TO THE N AND NE . WATERVAPOR SHOWS A TAD OF DRY AIR GETTING IN BUT QUICKLY THAT IS OVERTAKEN.. EW IS SHRINKING AND LOOK AS IS EWRC IS GOING TO TAKE PLACE
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 17A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
800 PM EDT Tue Jul 02 2024

...BERYL EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND STORM SURGE
TO JAMAICA ON WEDNESDAY AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.1N 71.7W
ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...943 MB...27.85 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Watch for the east
coast of the Yucatan Peninsula from Chetumal to Cabo Catoche.

The government of Belize has issued a Tropical Storm Watch from
south of Chetumal to Belize City.
 
18z HWRF- end of run off Texas coast. Not sure where it eventually lands (maybe Corpus Christi?) but it aint gonna be pretty.....
In this run, it comes off the peninsula at 981 and pressure continues to fall (958) as it moves across the gulf.

hwrf_mslp_uv850_02L_fh126-126.gif
 
GaWx said:
18Z Euro vs 12Z slightly N at Jamaica (right over it) followed by 70 miles further N at Yucatan and 150 miles further NE in BoC, where run ends at 90. Implies much further N landfall in W GOM had it gone further.
Click to expand...
That follows the GEFS from earlier that had a lot more members headed towards the east Texas coast.
 
Still at 150 mph on way to Jamaica: awful situation there. Don’t know how else to put it.

Hurricane Beryl Advisory Number 18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
1100 PM EDT Tue Jul 02 2024

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE BERYL EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING
WINDS AND STORM SURGE TO JAMAICA ON WEDNESDAY AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 72.7W
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.97 INCHES

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Beryl was located
near latitude 16.2 North, longitude 72.7 West. Beryl is moving
toward the west-northwest near 22 mph (35 km/h), and this general
motion should continue through Wednesday, followed by a turn more
toward the west Wednesday night or Thursday. On the forecast track,
the center of Beryl will move rapidly across the central Caribbean
Sea tonight and is forecast to pass near or over Jamaica on
Wednesday. The center is expected to pass near or over the Cayman
Islands Wednesday night or early Thursday and approach the Yucatan
Peninsula of Mexico Thursday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher
gusts. Beryl is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Weakening is forecast during the next day or
two. However, Beryl is forecast to be at or near major hurricane
intensity while it passes near Jamaica on Wednesday and the Cayman
Islands on Wednesday night. Additional weakening is expected
thereafter, though Beryl is forecast to remain a hurricane in the
northwestern Caribbean.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles
(295 km).

The minimum central pressure estimated from Hurricane Hunter
aircraft observations is 947 mb (27.97 inches).
 
Pressure went down 1 mb. Wind down 5 mph.

2:00 AM EDT Wed Jul 3
Moving: WNW at 22 mph
Min pressure: 946 mb
Max sustained: 145 mph

The right half of the end of the cone is going over Texas.

055033_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png
 
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