Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

[BufordWX]

Been getting a nice little preview event all day today with on and off light to occasionally moderate snow showers. Wasn’t even mentioned in the forecast before it started and none of the models have even been showing it.

Looks to only be a dusting so far, but with it being nighttime and the radar returns actually getting a little more pronounced in the past hour I’m starting to wonder if we are going to get some accumulation especially since temperatures are in the teens right now.

 

[Mr. Golf]

Does anyone have the 18z euro for snow accumulation map they can post for the midsouth?

 

[Tarheel1]

The entire state of Oklahoma is under a Winter Storm Warning except for 1 county in the far southeast.

Rain Cold must be there

 

[JLL1973]

Looks like nam with a better cold push early on

 

[JLL1973]

Here come a sleet fest on the nam

 

[Flotown]

Here come a sleet fest on the nam

yep ...way better than ice though...maybe we can sneak a little snow...u in a better spot than me though

 

[Stormlover]

NAM was warm last run, now it's a disaster around here

 

[Storm5]

Yeah colder nam run for sure . Low track further SE bs 18z . Not as far south as the rgem , icon and cmc . Buts it’s no doubt SE of the 18z run


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[Flotown]

NAM was warm last run, now it's a disaster around here View attachment 74376

Think it's becoming clear somebody is gonna get walloped with ice...just hope we can get more sleet and snow

 

[JLL1973]

Nam absolutely crushes the midsouth area

 

[JLL1973]

NAM was warm last run, now it's a disaster around here View attachment 74376

That looks bad for all of northwest alabama

 

[Flotown]

NAM was warm last run, now it's a disaster around here View attachment 74376

got any sleet and snow totals?...wow

 

[Stormlover]

Think it's becoming clear somebody is gonna get walloped with ice...just hope we can get more sleet and snow

also add to that winds gusting to 20 mph at times and down come the limbs

 

[JLL1973]

Nam gives memphis and northwest ms a foot of snow

 

[Stormlover]

got any sleet and snow totals?...wow

 

[bingcrosbyb]

Quite the extensive winter storm. Note no watches or warnings currently for state of Alabama.

 

[Stormlover]

Quite the extensive winter storm. Note no watches or warnings currently for state of Alabama.

There should be, but they will have to tomorrow if this holds

 

[Flotown]

There should be, but they will have to tomorrow if this holds

I think they will wait til 12z models tomorrow, maybe 00z tonight....just my opinion

 

[VegasEagle]

There should be, but they will have to tomorrow if this holds

Thank you for your post. This is a serious and dangerous weather event for people in North Alabama and Tennessee

 

[NWMSGuy]

Nam gives memphis and northwest ms a foot of snow

Wait what!? Haven’t been paying attention in the last 3 hours.

 

[JLL1973]

Looks like the icon could be a littler colder as well

 

[JLL1973]

Wait what!? Haven’t been paying attention in the last 3 hours.

Your going to love the nam

 

[olhausen]

And so it begins

 

[NWMSGuy]

Your going to love the nam

Now I’m getting super excited!

 

[Stormlover]

I think they will wait til 12z models tomorrow, maybe 00z tonight....just my opinion

They may do it in the morning.

 

[olhausen]

Does anyone have the 18z euro for snow accumulation map they can post for the midsouth?

 

[Stormlover]

18z euro

 

[Storm5]

Icon still keeps the low much further south


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[cd2play]

View attachment 74392View attachment 74393

That doesn't include ice, right? I'm worried about getting dry slotted. Never mind... Ice map got posted as I was typing.

 

[cd2play]

18z euro View attachment 74394

The wind that comes with storm system is going ot make power outage situation worse for areas that get ice

 

[PARSONBROWN]

RGEM keeps the low south like the cmc . It’s the long range rgem so who knows but keeps me frozen

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This is perfect sledding weather IMO. As long as ice is not bad. Little ice, sleet, snow = sledding my ass off

 

[NWMSGuy]

Thanks @JLL1973 for the heads up regarding the short range NAM! Now begs the question, how successful or close to accurate can the Kuchera Snow ratio be?

 

[Storm5]

Icon is still close enough to a big mess for many to keep me interested until tomorrow

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[JLL1973]

Icon giving north ms a heavy burst of snow.

 

[Stormlover]

Winter Weather Advisory for north Alabama through 8AM Saturday for freezing rain/drizzle/mist

 

[Storm5]

00z RGEM takes the low through southern Georgia . Much further SE vs the nam


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[malak05]

That RGEM is still trying to slide that freezing rain further SW to NE thru Central AL even creeping toward east parts of AL... interesting to monitor

 

[Storm5]

That RGEM is still trying to slide that freezing rain further SW to NE thru Central AL even creeping toward east parts of AL... interesting to monitor

Yeah cause it tracks the low through southern Georgia . It’s still considered the long range rgem at this point . But interesting given the icon has a similar track


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[Storm5]

RGEM through 64

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[deltadog03]

fingers crossed for yall...I need the southernwx boat.