Stormlover
Member
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Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th
- Thread starter deltadog03
- Start date
ajr
Member
The SE snowshield is performing well.
The thing is that the SE ridge being modeled too strong doesn't apply here.
1. The -EPO/+PNA is too weak/ too far west to make much of a impact to the SE ridge
2. We won't have much the -NAO block to suppress the PV/SE ridge like we did for most of the winter.
3. The MJO is stuck in phase 7.If the MJO was in phase 7 in JAN, this pattern would've a lot more favorable for the eastern SE ,but the MJO being phase 7 in FEB usually means bad things if are a winter lover.
4. The Models originally expected the pattern to become favorable(also happened with the Feb 11-13 timeframe),but back off as we got closer to the short range.
5.LA Nina's in Feb usually means a Central/western cold dump(unless you have blocking).
In conclusion, yes the SE ridge has usually been overestimated this year. However that's because we had a true -NAO. We don't have that here. Plus the Pacific is mediocre at best as well ,which helps to pump up a a SE ridge as well.
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I assume the UKIE includes sleet and frz rain in this map, correct?
Stormlover
Member
I doubt freezing rain is in it, but sleet probably is. I'm not sure though.
Steven_1974
Member
100% Don't need trees falling down on houses.
EMTime
Member
I've lived through two ice storms. 94 and 98. I was without power for a month in 94, and two weeks in 98.
I'd gladly take 33 and rain if we can't get snow. ( I'm near tupelo ms.)
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Honestly. Seeing 35 and rain is just as bad as seeing 30 and rain
Snownut
Member
I got news for ya, 35 and rain is not gonna cause devastation
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Stormlover
Member
You got that right! Amazing anyone would compare the two.
Snownut
Member
NWMSGuy
Member
All I can say is wow! Placed under an Ice Storm warning practically in the 11th hour last night. Rumbles of thunder overnight, wake up to a nice glaze of ice on the surfaces here in Northwest Ms. Now looking to next week there's the potential of not one but two possible major winter storms for this area!?
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
I totally agree with y'all. I don't know why people would rather see 30 and rain as opposed to 33 and rain
Jessy89
Member
30 and rain is a lot more fun then 35 and rain. You will not have ice at 35 and rain 30 and rain is icy beautiful and fun. The two have no comparison
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Stormlover
Member
No, ice is deadly and devastating. Give me 35 and rain anyday over that.
olhausen
Member
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
olhausen
Member
That would be impressive Brent. My coldest high ever living here was 13 or so degrees which has happened a couple of times. Funny thing is it’s been a few years now since I’ve even gotten a low of 13 or colder.
Snownut
Member
Anyone wishing a storm that causes so much destruction has lost their Minds. They thinks it's all fun and funny till Lives are lost because of it
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Storm5
Member
Three people died in Dallas this morning because of just 1/10th a coating of ice
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Snownut
Member
Clayton
Member
So let me ask this: What is it gonna take for the Pacific to ever cool down? Because that seems to be what's screwing up our winters apparently. Maybe @GaWx or @Webberweather53 can answer. Thanks
The only way to do that is in a El Nino
Jessy89
Member
Lives are lost in snow to if you try to drive in it. If there’s ice you stay off the roads I like ice because it’s absolutely beautiful up in the trees. Prefer snow of course! You shouldn’t drive in it if it’s on the roads. My advice is if your job fires you for not risking your life to get there. Then it’s time to find a company that cares about lives over product or money.
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Up to 5 now, horrible videos seen out of that area.
There are a lot of things in here that aren't related to this system. We have a Feb monthly thread, whamby thread, other threads. Thanks
At least most of Alabama gets left out. Makes it easier
And lots of people here like thunderstorms, severe weather, hail, tornadoes, hurricanes, etc. that cause a trail of property destruction and death. Not that there’s anything wrong with that, but lots of the weather we weenie out over are natural disasters. Even snow causes damage and kills people.
BelmontWX79
Member
And snow doesnt kill people? C'mon people get a grip!
Snownut
Member
Snow doesn't cause NEAR the devastation as Ice. Anyone with common sense would know that
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Storm5
Member
Euro gfs like pumping temps across most of Alabama
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Stormlover
Member
for huntsville late mon afternoon/early evening, gfs has .34 freezing rain in two hours with a temp of 26!
Storm5
Member
Storm5
Member
Euro trending warmer each run . Memphis is the place to be
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Stormlover
Member
nope, freezing
Stormlover
Member
Euro says ice storm tooo
Storm5
Member
Gfs and euro both have an apps runner . The icon and cmc are wrong
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The euro is actually the coldest model now lol 
PARSONBROWN
Member
could you screen shot back to the west please.