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Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

Myfrotho704_ said:
06z euro/eps have nothing East of the mountains but instead a warm sector severe weather setup, differences relate to H5
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Correct me if I’m wrong, but If this system has the energy to scour out the wedge and put us into the warm sector for severe, it should have the energy to pull in at least a piece of that Arctic air just to its west and at least bring a quick cold snap... that’s pretty much what happened with the storm system that came through on Christmas Eve
 
KyloG said:
EPS does have some members with better spot for high

View attachment 74193View attachment 74194
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The fact a few of those backs up the icon idea means we have a model showdown to some degree. Wonder how many gets members also show the high in a better spot like the Icon?

In the end I'd put money on the GFS and Euro but I'll keep one eye on this threat until probably Saturday night or Sunday. By then we should see which camp is gonna cave.
 
Chazwin said:
Correct me if I’m wrong, but If this system has the energy to scour out the wedge and put us into the warm sector for severe, it should have the energy to pull in at least a piece of that Arctic air just to its west and at least bring a quick cold snap... that’s pretty much what happened with the storm system that came through on Christmas Eve
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Eh models don’t really show much but seasonal cool air moves in for a day or so, almost all the models flex the SER immediately with SW flow from the gulf in nina fashion due to the upcoming weak +NAO so there’s nothing to really suppress the SE US ridge, now after it’ll probably come back (-NAO)
 
Wondering if next week’s storm will come with a lot of wind. That would factor into power outages for those that get ice and snow
 
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OLD NAM VS NEW NAM ... same time frame Monday afternoon.. stronger CAD already.. we’ve heard this song before it’s happening right now and tonight with more expansive CAD
 
Technical question to all the mets in the thread....Has our system for Mon-Tues made it on shore yet for sampling??
Just wondering. Good luck to all of you in the west SE! Have fun. Hopefully we can end up with something east of the APPS
 
SouthATLwx said:
Not to mention, the 00z EURO is actually a bit wetter than the 12z run.

And it's funny because if it were any other season, 3-4" would be an impressive snowfall for Texas. :p
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3-4” of snow at/near DFW still is and always will be a very impressive snow there. It can’t possibly not be considering their climo. They’ve only had 9 FULL months of 4”+ of snow since way back in 1940. They’ve had only two 4”+ full months since 1978-9.

*Edited/corrected
 
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Nam is much warmer
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
GaWx said:
3-4” of snow at/near DFW still is and always will be a very impressive snow there. It can’t possibly not be considering their climo. They’ve only had 10 FULL months of 4”+ of snow since way back in 1940.
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I bet snow with temps in the single digits or low teens in Dallas is pretty rare. When is the last time Dallas had a big snow with temps under 10 ?
 
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