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Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

Question- if the models have a hard time with swallow layers of cold air near the surface, then isn't reasonable to figure in some sort of margin of error as it relates to the east progression shown on the model runs?
Yeah it'll be interesting to see where the inverted trough sets up and how far east the sub freezing temps can get for you guys. If I were within 1 or 2 layers of counties from the freezing line on the models I'd certainly keep a watch
 
For Huntsville and NW Alabama the hood news is if you wants ice there it’s still four days out . Will be interesting to see if the cold push is a little better vs what’s being shown currently


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Yikes, I live near Birmingham but work in Decatur. Thankfully for a college that will likely close if this happens. I'm in an elevated part of SW Blount County, and we sometimes have icing when lower elevations don't. I will certainly take a pass on that!

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Welp, I guess I am eating crow. Barring some miracle in some of the short range modeling it looks like we're going to get the screw over once again. This has been the worst winter I can remember. I mean last years was horrible too, but watching everyone to our west score multiple times in 2 weeks why we are stuck with a cold rain is painful. If I didn't have a good job and didn't have family/friends here, I'd be moving west of the Apps. I really though CAD would throw us a bone next week. Damn the SER!
 
Guys google ice storm February 1 and 2 1985.

How was that pattern similar to the one we are seeing slip through our models today?
 

How was that pattern similar to the one we are seeing slip through our models today?

How was that pattern similar to the one we are seeing slip through our models today?
A very slow moving front that fluctuated back and forth before leaving 5 to 6 inches of ice on the ground along with trees and power lines.
 
First time today I had a chance to look at the models. I'm not going to call it quits just yet until we get to probably saturday and get into range of the short range models but I am about to wave the white flag on this one and honestly winter itself. Still time for changes not only to this storm but for another opportunity to come along but I am getting my "end of the season" blues where I am ready to just get to spring (and no humidity).
 
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