Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

[Wild Weather Monger]

Im not upgrading the carpet burn watch to a warning tonight. Seen enough to say maybe the rug want get pulled out from underneath us. Next decession will the 12z tommorow.

I might hang out for the UKMET. The nut case shrink formally known as Doc can wait until morning.

 

[Chandler]

@Brent just got v16'd

 

[lexxnchloe]

V16 isn’t impressed View attachment 73351View attachment 73352

Not impressive at all. But i can get close to 70 tues then at least it will be enjoyable.

 

[iGRXY]

Canadian is WAY east at 66

 

[ATLwxfan]

It really wasn’t. The GFS was going to have an ice storm there. It parked the TPV out of nowhere and wouldn’t allow Hp to slide east and build in. The odds of that happening are slim to none IMO

Except that this look has shown up several times going back a week though pushed out further as time has gone on. I posted about how ridiculous it seemed then. The fact that it keeps showing up means we just can’t dismiss it.


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[iGRXY]

Except that this look has shown up several times going back a week though pushed out further as time has gone on. I posted about how ridiculous it seemed then. The fact that it keeps showing up means we just can’t dismiss it.


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Not exactly. You gotten a bad look but from different reasons. We’ve gone from the TPV trended west and almost dropping into Montana, to finally it pushing east, but getting weaker, now it’s not as weak but it just randomly stops after trucking along? That’s not trends. That’s the complete opposite. Yes you don’t get a wintry look but how it gets there is completely different and this latest look on the GFS is the most unlikely one of the 3 to happen.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Stronger high on the Canadian. Now push that ? East

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

 

[ATLwxfan]

Not exactly. You gotten a bad look but from different reasons. We’ve gone from the TPV trended west and almost dropping into Montana, to finally it pushing east, but getting weaker, now it’s not as weak but it just randomly stops after trucking along? That’s not trends. That’s the complete opposite. Yes you don’t get a wintry look but how it gets there is completely different and this latest look on the GFS is the most unlikely one of the 3 to happen.

A week ago we had modeling showing a equally impressive propagation of a stout PV with frigid conditions to the Louisiana coast and a significant moderation in temps with the ridging into GA and SC. Yes it then trended west.


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[Jimmy Hypocracy]

GEM not going to get it done here for the Carolinas

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That stuff hanging on to the lakes ruins the movement East of our CAD high

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

but damn did it look good back west

 

[ghost1]

@Brent just got v16'd
View attachment 73353

The Great Texas Blizzard of 2021

 

[ATLwxfan]

Now as it finally breaks down the ridge, the PV is losing its punch gradually. But it’s D10 now so, yeah.


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[SD]

but damn did it look good back west View attachment 73359

If you live in Tx, La, Ms, Ar, Tn, Al, Va you have to feel pretty good about a storm coming at this point

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

And then after the King Kong rain storm there’s this lmao

 

[Benholio]

Canadian transfers the low, looks icy for most of ALA and NW corner of GA

 

[Benholio]

 

[LovingGulfLows]

Canadian transfers the low, looks icy for most of ALA and NW corner of GA

A lot of that is sleet on the Canadian. At 156, Atlanta north and west would be a sleetstorm.