AND IT DROPS TO 957MB AFTER HITTING CUBA
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Tropical Karen
- Thread starter GaWx
- Start date
AEMI (GEFS) showing big western turn v 00z run
If something like the 0Z Euro were to verify, it would be the 4th season in a row with a H threat to the SE US in early Oct! Is Oct the new Sep? Let's hope the 0Z Euro is drunk! The scary thing is that it may not be.
Brent
Member
Well that narrows it down /s
The 0Z EPS is very ominous for the CONUS and much worse than the 12Z. I'd say at least 30 of the 51 or so members form a TC and 2/3 of those move toward and and mostly hit the US with only ~10 (roughly 1/3 of the TCs) recurving away from the CONUS. Just over 1/3 of the 52 (~18) members hit the CONUS 9/29-10/3 with 99L.
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Brent
Member
Reportedly according to a met friend going straight to Karen this morning
That escalated quickly
That escalated quickly
looking way better than earlier
AND WE HAVE TS KAREN!!!!!!!!
If you look at the euro, look at those lowering heights in Canada and the beginning of the ridge collapsing in the SE at hour 240, if the cane takes a path that could disrupt that colder air in Canada, that could aid in the pattern change to real fall as those lower heights/trough would be tugged down to the southeast, just something to think about
Henry2326
Member
06z GfS heads toward the gulf but doesn't develop....
Henry2326
Member
Basically every major model pins it under the ridge and turns it west. I've not seen this much consistency this far out in awhile. They certainly disagree as to the location of the threat, but at least notice can be given, different from Imelda.
Would you mind taking the caps lock off in your computer?
TileDude
Member
Pea Ridge works with a 911 emergency call center I believe and their system only allows all caps.
He stated a 100 million times he can’t do so and that all caps is locked at his job (911 emergency call center ^)
I guess the only time he posts on here is when he is at work.
When I'm not working @9-1-1 im usually busy enough to just scroll and keep myself updated. Plus it's hard to post maps and such from a phone
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