Pattern June Presented by: Heat and Humidity

[SD]

Did it fall in a creek or something?

No idea man, its constantly 10x-20x reality. Im going to take it apart and rebuild it I'm not sure if it is a sensing issue or the tipping bucket isnt tight enough so 1 drop immediately depresses it

 

[Rain Cold]

No idea man, its constantly 10x-20x reality. Im going to take it apart and rebuild it I'm not sure if it is a sensing issue or the tipping bucket isnt tight enough so 1 drop immediately depresses it

Good luck! Heard they got some good stations for like $500-$1000...like those Davis ones.

 

[LickWx]

87 dew 77 at RDU! Swamp ass galore

 

[JHS]

The cold front hasn't even traversed the mountains yet... Plenty of fuel for storm development. Looks to be a very active week or so for the Carolina's. GA and the TN Valley are going to bone dry for the next week, so it could be way worse.

NC and SC west of 77 probably bone dry too.

 

[Downeastnc]

Line of training storms and heavy showers crawling east......garden needs some water.....

 

[ryan1234]

NC and SC west of 77 probably bone dry too.

Noooo? I mean the better chance for widespread precip could set up over the CLT Metro and east, but The Upstate isn't left out completely.

 

[ryan1234]

Still waiting on some storms to fire, I would hate for today to be another bust.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Lots of towering CU to my NW

 

[Chazwin]

Can someone tell me what I’m missing?? The NWS has issued a Flood Watch for Union County,NC, but I’m not seeing anything firing up to the west

 

[Rain Cold]

Can someone tell me what I’m missing?? The NWS has issued a Flood Watch for Union County,NC, but I’m not seeing anything firing up to the west

HRrrrRrRRR says soon.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

cumulus going boomy boom right now

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Hello there

 

[Brick Tamland]

I don't think there's going to be enough clearing here today for storms to develop. Clouds keep hanging around.

 

[smast16]

I think i'm sitting today out. Line is forming just to my south and kicking east. ?

 

[ryan1234]

I don't think there's going to be enough clearing here today for storms to develop. Clouds keep hanging around.

Yeah, surface-based CAPE is struggling to recover a bit over the Triangle, for now. That could change, but clouds keep on training over the same area's. Meanwhile, surface-based CAPE is approaching 3000 CLT points east. Curious to see if we can get some more coverage to the S or SW of CLT...

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Hearing thunder to my north

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Nice OFB pushing west

 

[smast16]

?

 

[Rain Cold]

I smell a bust incoming west of 95

Good call. Sink zone strikes again.

 

[ryan1234]

Good call. Sink zone strikes again.

Yup. Literally no convection that looks impressive. HRRR is a trash model. Whyyyyy do we still use it?

 

[EmersonGA]

81, breezy, and low humidity. What a day!

 

[Rain Cold]

Yup. Literally no convection that looks impressive. HRRR is a trash model. Whyyyyy do we still use it?

Maybe version 4 is better

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Should see storms develop in this circle as time goes on, OFB moving west (blue line) , along with pre frontal storms already moving east should combine and strengthen updrafts and form newer storms

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Unfortunately the V4 is down due to it being a unstable model

 

[ryan1234]

Should see storms develop in this circle as time goes on, OFB moving west (blue line) , along with pre frontal storms already moving east should combine and strengthen updrafts and form newer storms View attachment 42756

Let's hope so! Really not a cloud in the sky in my area.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Let's hope so! Really not a cloud in the sky in my area.

There’s basically towering CU everywhere here, in fact there’s a nice rain shaft to my East

 

[ryan1234]

There’s basically towering CU everywhere here, in fact there’s a nice rain shaft to my East

You're a little closer to some of those showers so that makes sense. Ironically I am the only county within the GSP area with a Flood Watch.

 

[BHS1975]

Unfortunately the V4 is down due to it being a unstable model

It’s been pretty good lately.


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[Myfrotho704_]

Strong thunderstorms getting going

 

[JHS]

The 12z Euro is bone dry for much of the midsouth from GA to TX right through day to and show the start of 95-100 degree heat at day 10. Looks a lot like the summer of 1993 is going to repeat in the southeast. That summer was bone dry and very hot.

 

[Brick Tamland]

Yup. Literally no convection that looks impressive. HRRR is a trash model. Whyyyyy do we still use it?

Why did WRAL hype the chance of storms so much for the next week? We can't get squat.

 

[Ollie Williams]

I'm under a Flash Flood Warning. It's been raining cats and dogs.

 

[ryan1234]

Strong thunderstorms getting going View attachment 42758

I just don't see how anything is going to form to our south, which is what we need for some storms. You alluded to the OFB, but there is nothing even sparking yet.

 

[SimeonNC]

I'm going to Pigeon Forge/Gatlinburg during the 20th-23rd so I hope the weather cooperates with us and it doesn't get too hot

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[Myfrotho704_]

I’m banking on a collision to get things going

 

[Meteorologist1999]

NC and SC west of 77 probably bone dry too.

NC and SC west of 77 probably bone dry too.

you should be getting some heavy storms soon, if not already.

 

[ryan1234]

I’m banking on a collision to get things going View attachment 42759

Yeah that OFB is a little more apparent now. Let's see what happens.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Yeah that OFB is a little more apparent now. Let's see what happens.

I’m hopeful, but skeptical at the same time, hrrr isn’t even picking up on the current storms good right now, so we gotta rely on what we see

 

[ryan1234]

I’m hopeful, but skeptical at the same time, hrrr isn’t even picking up on the current storms good right now, so we gotta rely on what we see

Well now, that changes everything. Lol. HRRR is like the GFS at hour 384.