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Pattern June 2022

Awesome T-Storms here on the immediate Coast w/the front moving through.. Plenty of rain that we needed..
72F currenty~T-storms
 
Way out there but sustained high heat showing up towards the middle of the month on the GFS the past couple of runs. I really hope this is overdone or folds completely!

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Way out there but sustained high heat showing up towards the middle of the month on the GFS the past couple of runs. I really hope this is overdone or folds completely!

gfs_T2m_us_39.png


gfs_T2m_us_43.png


gfs_T2m_us_51.png


gfs_T2m_us_47.png


gfs_T2m_us_55.png


View attachment 118942
The op may be over heating at 2m which it has a tendency to do. That said the 12z gefs so far and the 0z eps means support a hotter pattern after D10 with the west to east elongated ridge axis and warm 850s being directed into the region.
 
Also that's a respectable look on Friday and Saturday for a real late season severe event Friday and Saturday. We might be a little low on shear but man it doesn't look bad
 
Will have to watch that Wednesday - Friday period here. Could get some ridge-riding MCS.
 
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DFW made it to 83*F yesterday.

The Fort Worth side of the Metroplex and the far southern suburbs actually saw flash flooding with several inches of rain yesterday as nearly stationary thunderstorms blew up with the remnant MCV moving through. We only got light stratiform rain from it here
 
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