Probably a good ideaI like what I'm reading. Still ignoring the radar
Probably a good ideaI like what I'm reading. Still ignoring the radar
Here you go @SD , linear MCS knocking on the door View attachment 44033
That's solid about 20 miles away if this fails ill be out until octoberHere you go @SD , linear MCS knocking on the door View attachment 44033
Here’s the lightning pictures View attachment 44029View attachment 44030View attachment 44031View attachment 44032
Ummm don't say that, 20 miles is a whole lot of fail time. Whatever you do don't look at the radarThat's solid about 20 miles away if this fails ill be out until october
That ofb was pretty awesomeThe thing already spat out a major collapsing outflow boundary. Now it’s just a matter of beat the clock as to whether it makes it to Raleigh as anything more than sprinkles
Hope so this is so disappointingI say Monday looks better for you, instead of W——> E, more NW——>SE so timing would be better, also the best forcing is timed way better
It's all about positioning.I say Monday looks better for you, instead of W——> E, more NW——>SE so timing would be better, also the best forcing is timed way better
Let's not talk about it.So did that line make it in here last night? I heard one rumble of thunder about 11 and then nothing for 15 minutes and then went to sleep. Ground looks dewy...that's about it.
Just looked at the storm total doppler estimate on the NWS RAH site. I don't know how accurate that is but it's showing some one inch lollipops up to western and central Wake Co. And then virtually zero to the east. I'm telling you, it's virtually impossible to get an MCS to roll through here. They always roll through late at night.Let's not talk about it.
Sounds about right outflow rolled out just west of US1 and it was game over for us. I'm not sure how it will ever rain here again, hard to find an ull with this lookJust looked at the storm total doppler estimate on the NWS RAH site. I don't know how accurate that is but it's showing some one inch lollipops up to western and central Wake Co. And then virtually zero to the east. I'm telling you, it's virtually impossible to get an MCS to roll through here. They always roll through late at night.
This might be a dumb question, but why did it not produce an outflow farther upstream that choked it off earlier? It wasn't like it had just formed to our west. It had been ongoing for a while.Sounds about right outflow rolled out just west of US1 and it was game over for us. I'm not sure how it will ever rain here again, hard to find an ull with this lookView attachment 44042
This might be a dumb question, but why did it not produce an outflow farther upstream that choked it off earlier? It wasn't like it had just formed to our west. It had been ongoing for a while.
Sounds about right outflow rolled out just west of US1 and it was game over for us. I'm not sure how it will ever rain here again, hard to find an ull with this lookView attachment 44042
This might be a dumb question, but why did it not produce an outflow farther upstream that choked it off earlier? It wasn't like it had just formed to our west. It had been ongoing for a while.
Not surprisingAnd the 12z nam sucks, forcing moves through to quick
Not surprising
Not surprising
In before 18zDrunk isn’t the word lol, this run gets discreet supercells (black lines on storms is helicity) going with a high cape/modest shear setup, id definitely chase this if I had to, unfortunately it’s the LR 3km nam View attachment 44049View attachment 44050View attachment 44047View attachment 44048