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July Surprise!
- Thread starter Ollie Williams
- Start date
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Brick Tamland
Guest
That is an impressive line. Can't remember the last time we had a line that covered the whole state like that.
That's solid about 20 miles away if this fails ill be out until october
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Brick Tamland
Guest
This is what I want to see. Come to daddy.
It’s worth noting that this MCS is going without no shear lol, but when you get a trough axis with summer time thermodynamics with focused forcing, it’s gonna be a fun day
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Brick Tamland
Guest
SD not looking at the radar.
blueheronNC
Member
The thing already spat out a major collapsing outflow boundary. Now it’s just a matter of beat the clock as to whether it makes it to Raleigh as anything more than sprinkles
Not tryna jinx but Monday reminds me of today, just more NW flow aloft, wonder how this one will evolve, like that weak trough axis entering during peak heating 
That ofb was pretty awesome
Seeing a lightning anvil crawler show way to my East
Lol managed this
Done
Done
Hope so this is so disappointing
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Brick Tamland
Guest
Hearing some thunder now.
cd2play
Member
It's all about positioning.
Lol 
Was 92 degrees at 830 eating dinner outside tonight in tx. I dont think I could handle this for 4 to 5 months a year, plus never storms much in Austin.
Nam really likes the idea of a big forward propagating cluster of storms Monday
So did that line make it in here last night? I heard one rumble of thunder about 11 and then nothing for 15 minutes and then went to sleep. Ground looks dewy...that's about it.
Let's not talk about it.
Just looked at the storm total doppler estimate on the NWS RAH site. I don't know how accurate that is but it's showing some one inch lollipops up to western and central Wake Co. And then virtually zero to the east. I'm telling you, it's virtually impossible to get an MCS to roll through here. They always roll through late at night.
Sounds about right outflow rolled out just west of US1 and it was game over for us. I'm not sure how it will ever rain here again, hard to find an ull with this look
BHS1975
Member
BHS1975
Member
Let’s not ignore the fact that the SPC had a pretty bad bust with that general risk yesterday, could of verified as a marginal or even a slight... 
FFC is quite bullish on an MCS tomorrow night/Monday morning. SPC seems to agree in their 2 day outlook.
Unfortunately, it’s that time of the year here in the Midlands of SC where the temperature rarely drops below 70° for lows. An interesting stat I always like watching is how many days in a row here we can go without dipping below 70°. Right now, we are at 13 days in a row with June 28th being the last day we dropped below it. I normally round up. So if it 69.7° for example wouldn’t count. It’s been since May 20th since we’ve dropped below 60° here.
I know a lot people like Summer, but I can’t wait for that first true Fall cold front. Got a while! Lol
I know a lot people like Summer, but I can’t wait for that first true Fall cold front. Got a while! Lol
I guess the cold pool and stratiform rain matured enough to finally force the ofb far enough ahead
And the 12z nam sucks, forcing moves through to quick
Not surprising
Drunk isn’t the word lol, this run gets discreet supercells (black lines on storms is helicity) going with a high cape/modest shear setup, id definitely chase this if I had to, unfortunately it’s the LR 3km nam 
In before 18z
Gotta say, not a fan of this upcoming pattern. Despite what the fact that we aren't supposed to enter a drought anytime soon, rain chances continue to fall. We need a nice tropical system like the NE had. Just a nice soaking rain!
Pretty amazing how little effect last night's rain had on my yard. Places that were already starting to show dry stress are still there. As a whole this sucks
Gotten nearly 3 inches of rain the past week and a half, pretty solid