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Pattern July '22

No rain gauge but my house was hammered in northern Spartanburg county. I joked to my wife that it looks like the rain will miss us again. Then it absolutely poured for over an hour. Thankful for the rain but maybe a little more moderate next time.
 
NAM3k has this weird little cluster fire over NE NC that drops SW into the main line....destroys my county with 5-7" of rain in like 3 hrs....I mean I need rain but not that much....

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Settle down NAM some 12-16" totals just south of MBY....this would put a dent in the drought though obviously we got NAMd, still figure some widespread 1-3" totals likely....

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EV_WS said:
WOW !!

1.5 in 21 minutes and still not done.

One of the heaviest rains I've ever seen.
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I got in on that storm too on the other side of the county. I had 1.91 in 34 minutes. 2.1" total.

Also had one of the craziest amounts of lightning i've ever seen. 2 hours of non stop thunder. There was a lightning flash every 3-5 seconds, some really close too. I had more thunder than one of those youtube thunderstorm videos. Damn, it was epic!

There were some strong gusts with this storm too, branches and smaller sticks everywhere and the occasional small tree knocked down.
 
smast16 said:
I got in on that storm too on the other side of the county. I had 1.91 in 34 minutes. 2.1" total.

Also had one of the craziest amounts of lightning i've ever seen. 2 hours of non stop thunder. There was a lightning flash every 3-5 seconds, some really close too. I had more thunder than one of those youtube thunderstorm videos. Damn, it was epic!

There were some strong gusts with this storm too, branches and smaller sticks everywhere and the occasional small tree knocked down.
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I've been in a continuous lightning storm once near the coast during the summer when I was in my teens. Never seen anything close since.
 
Pgv now dips to an 8 inch deficit on the year and is only 1.25 inches off its driest year to date on record. Really an amazing turnaround from last year where this time we were running 15-20 inch surpluses.
 

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Shaggy said:
At carolina Beach for and I'm not sure I've ever seen thr water this color before. This is like some gulf of Mexico turquoise clear water.
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I wonder if it's due to reduced discharge from inland rivers, and less mixing along the coast.
 
Shaggy said:
At carolina Beach for and I'm not sure I've ever seen thr water this color before. This is like some gulf of Mexico turquoise clear water.
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I was at Atlantic and it was more green. I’d describe the water as really green less like the gulf but definitely greener - tealish than usual. Has to do with Gulf Stream I think .
 
3K NAM a few lollipop gully washers here and there otherwise not even close to a drought buster that's for sure.

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Took some pics of Corn Brunswick County on way back home last night. Get to lumberton back west,its toast.
Turn your head sideways to view lol.
 

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Brick Tamland said:
What is the deal with the busted forecasts lately for storms and rain here?
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It's summer man no good dynamics to force storms/ rain so you are depending on mesoscale features to force convection. Yesterday over performed because the models under played the mcs moving in from the north and were too slow with its south push. Subsidence in its wake is likely to leave today dry until the next meso feature can force something if at all this evening. Outside of slam dunk situations like stalled fronts, cutoff lows, tropical systems (even here is not always 100%) the day to day forecast in the summer is best left at a 20-30% chance of afternoon storms
 
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SD said:
It's summer man no good dynamics to force storms/ rain so you are depending on mesoscale features to force convection. Yesterday over performed because the models under played the mcs moving in from the north and were too slow with its south push. Subsidence it is wake is likely to leave today dry until the next meso feature can force something if at all this evening. Outside of slam dunk situations like stalled fronts, cutoff lows, tropical systems (even here is not always 100%) the day to day forecast in the summer is best left at a 20-30% chance of afternoon storms
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Mesoscale features as well as microclimate influences.

For example, if you're in a lower elevation area prone to downsloping or in a lake/ocean shadow, you're also less likely to see convection.
 
SD said:
It's summer man no good dynamics to force storms/ rain so you are depending on mesoscale features to force convection. Yesterday over performed because the models under played the mcs moving in from the north and were too slow with its south push. Subsidence in its wake is likely to leave today dry until the next meso feature can force something if at all this evening. Outside of slam dunk situations like stalled fronts, cutoff lows, tropical systems (even here is not always 100%) the day to day forecast in the summer is best left at a 20-30% chance of afternoon storms
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The coast has the sea-breeze front but even it doesn't produce sometimes.
 
weather bubba said:
I am too. That 102 would be a six degree jump since the 2:00 observation. I'm not saying it couldn't happen but that is unusual to say the least.
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I think 100 is plausible just looking around with Goldsboro at 98, Burlington 97, Smithfield 97 but 102 is weird . They did some work at the station a few weeks back been weird since then .
 
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