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Pattern Juggernaut June

Hopefully there wont be any mudslides. With all that rain by the moutains considering rain has been scarce for awhile.
 
I opened a pre-case study thread if you wanna discuss the biblical rain totals forecasted by the WPC. Discuss why they probably won’t verify on such a widespread scale in the summer time.
 
BirdManDoomW said:
I opened a pre-case study thread if you wanna discuss the biblical rain totals forecasted by the WPC. Discuss why they probably won’t verify on such a widespread scale in the summer time.
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Robert says your wrong, do do bird!A1541435-94A8-4058-A93F-4429BC63FA66.png
 
Welp, peak climo for microbursts is coming up in the SE, especially the lee side of the NC mountains, which is possible with some storms this week/weekend if any dry air aloft forms or steep low level lapses form, real summer is here !!!!!
 
BirdManDoomW said:
I opened a pre-case study thread if you wanna discuss the biblical rain totals forecasted by the WPC. Discuss why they probably won’t verify on such a widespread scale in the summer time.
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Dude give all the threads a rest, enough is enough.... just discuss totals in here.

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Look what I see for us
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I don't post often, but I'm hoping for a "Juggernaut June." Left Carrollton, GA to head west. Struck out this winter, but Saturday and Sunday may be promising. Of course, if it were winter in the SE, my posting this would be the kiss of death. Will be in the West Yellowstone area this weekend ... calling for "moderate accumulations. " We will see. Hoping for some rain back home!

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k0skinne said:
I don't post often, but I'm hoping for a "Juggernaut June." Left Carrollton, GA to head west. Struck out this winter, but Saturday and Sunday may be promising. Of course, if it were winter in the SE, my posting this would be the kiss of death. Will be in the West Yellowstone area this weekend ... calling for "moderate accumulations. " We will see. Hoping for some rain back home!

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Snow in June is something not many get to witness. That would be an awesome sight.
 
Keep hope alive!!15B96BA4-61C1-4F22-8522-4ADBB046FD7A.png
 
3km NAM shows some big rain amounts across alabama through 12 oclock friday. Rain is about to move in over me right now. Very overcast.
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NAM below through saturday shows big rains too. Depends were these storms train over one another. Screenshot_20190605-083539_Samsung Internet.jpg
 
12z 3-km NAM shows tomorrow could be interesting around North GA. Light rain throughout the day followed by heavier downpours starting in the evening and continuing into the overnight before moving out early Friday morning. One run but we will see what happens.
 
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BufordWX said:
12z 3-km NAM shows tomorrow could be interesting around North GA. Light rain throughout the day followed by heavier downpours starting in the evening and continuing into the overnight before moving out early Friday morning. One run but we will see what happens.
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Here are the totals from the run. E744DD72-BCF6-488A-BE40-1EA52CB6685A.png
 
While sun would help cape, it would actually reduce it also in a way by mixing out the boundary layer, here at my location there’s 2000jkg of sfc cape even with lots of cloud cover , most of the cape is driven by large theta E/large sfc moisture, also gotta remember with cloud cover, soundings will remain saturated 821A21B7-917B-4459-A82F-D6F5B64EF3DF.jpeg
 
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BHS1975 said:
Is this why sometimes you get storms that pop up overnight?


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Sometimes, but most of the time at night they feed off MUcape/elevated cape or some MLcape, since the lower temps itself during the night creates a inversion
 
Seen two hail storms here in Apex this summer so far and I’ve only seen like 4 in my life... getting some good luck this summer with these storms .. last couple years it’s like we’ve had a dome over us that the storms collapse or move right around us ...
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
While sun would help cape, it would actually reduce it also in a way by mixing out the boundary layer, here at my location there’s 2000jkg of sfc cape even with lots of cloud cover , most of the cape is driven by large theta E/large sfc moisture, also gotta remember with cloud cover, soundings will remain saturated View attachment 20108
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Crazy we can have this much cape with the clouds ... I think Models under doing storm coverage maybe the latest HRRR is a bit better
 
Models/ENSO as well as climo are telling me that the worst of the heat in terms of a combo of duration and intensity for the SE will very likely end up being the intense heatwave we just experienced and that nothing else will get close this summer. Keeping fingers crossed.
 
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