Pattern Jarring January

[Shawn]

This will be a colder, less amped run. Not too shabby.

 

[whatalife]

We will have to wait at least until the 00z or 12z runs tomorrow to watch the GFS crash and burn


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[TheBatman]

The Euro showed this storm, on one run, about 3 days ago, correct?

Yes, but it was too warm I think.

 

[Storm5]

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[Shawn]

Yes, but it was too warm I think.

There was one run that obliterated the SE (especially the Carolinas) in ice/mix.

 

[Storm5]

The Euro showed this storm, on one run, about 3 days ago, correct?

It’s had a few runs that had precip up to the i20 corridor. Never a gfs like solution


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[TheBatman]

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Beautiful!!!! Maybe it won’t crush us in a few days .

 

[Shawn]

Beautiful!!!! Maybe it won’t crush us in a few days .

This is a scenario, you need to watch a NW trend(on gfs). But not bad. Will probably spread Wintry across the whole SE on coming frames.

 

[Shawn]

Nice snows, all the way to CAE, ATL, some mixing issues on the backend as it strengthens, but overall a better track for some!

 

[Storm5]

This is a scenario, you need to watch a NW trend(on gfs). But not bad. Will probably spread Wintry across the whole SE on coming frames.

Not gonna get a huge NW trend in this setup but again we are talking about a phantom storm at the moment


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[Storm5]

Hahha what’s run , what a tease . Better screen shot it


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[GeorgiaGirl]

Hmmm old fashioned southern slider run but at this point it's likely imaginary winter weather.

 

[Storm5]

Beautiful

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[DLI4SCwx]

Nice snows, all the way to CAE, ATL, some mixing issues on the backend as it strengthens, but overall a better track for some!

Be nice if we could reel this one in man. We'd want that SLP to track down by Tampa though wouldn't we, to be in better position SN wise?

 

[Shawn]

Low pressure tracks substantially further South on this run and doesn't start a NE track from Florida Panhandle until late. Good moisture influx, very good run.

Now, if only it weren't the GFS.

 

[Wildboutsnow]

Maybe the busy noisy Robins believe the GFS....

 

[Shawn]

Be nice if we could reel this one in man. We'd want that SLP to track down by Tampa though wouldn't we, to be in better position SN wise?

North Central Florida is best. Which this is close enough.

 

[RollTide18]

Hey think about it like this, the longer it shows a storm, the closer it is to being right lol

 

[whatalife]

Low pressure tracks substantially further South on this run and doesn't start a NE track from Florida Panhandle until late. Good moisture influx, very good run.

Now, if only it weren't the GFS.

Key phrase “further south.” It’s slowly headed towards the Euro...


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[pcbjr]

North Central Florida is best. Which this is close enough.

N Central Cuba would be just fine, thank you ...