This is something to watch isn’t far off from 2 weekends ago, almost same exact looks 
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Pattern Januworry
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Heelyes
Member
Regardless of the outcome, having something to track 3 weeks in a row is amazing.
That map is really amazing when you consider that even that Lake Effect snow NW Indiana has seen very little this year
iGRXY
Member
It’s definitely fun to have this many storms to track. Exhausting but fun. Especially considering we haven’t had anything to track for 3 years except potential icing events that turned in 32 degree cold rain over on this side of the mountains.
Happy a lot of us have had a successful January so far. Of course, there are still some on the board that haven’t hit yet, but a lot of people hit that haven’t in awhile.
The Low develops too far north on both the GFS and the CMC. However if the phase happend sooner and the Low starting bombing out off the coast of FL instead of waiting until it gets NC before bombing out, that could've put many more areas in the game and maybe dare I say cause blizzard conditions from Eastern GA to VA as the low rapidly deepens. I still favor climo and the Low not bombing out before it gets towards the Outer Banks,but a earlier phase could change everything,which at that point crazy things might happen.
griteater
Member
Some improvement with the 12z's so far...let's see if we can keep the momentum going
Here is Sugar Mtn, NC....December 29 vs. January 23
Here is Sugar Mtn, NC....December 29 vs. January 23
Cmc ensembles @Myfrotho704_ ?
We’re going to have the advantage of a cold ground again so we shouldn’t waste much.
dsaur
Member
22.4 here.
RollTide18
Member
Not too far from something here
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CMCE appears to have taken a big shift to the right
CMCE followed the CMC and is a NE directed hit
Sctvman
Member
SnowNiner
Member
Well, better trends I guess today so far but still a while to go. Again depending on a well timed phase sadly.
A little disappointed even with the split flow pattern that's we've had, we haven't had a good old fashioned southern stream threat; from Texas to the Carolinas. Everything's been northern stream dig dependent.
A little disappointed even with the split flow pattern that's we've had, we haven't had a good old fashioned southern stream threat; from Texas to the Carolinas. Everything's been northern stream dig dependent.
Sctvman
Member
Someone else can correct me if I'm wrong, but I don't think we have a true split flow, and we certainly don't have a suppressed enough height field oriented in such a way that you get a bona-fide west to east southern tracking system.
I’m not so sure we are reliant on a phase anymore. But that wave has got to keep digging west.
griteater
Member
Euro is digging more to the SW, but don't how much it will be able to sharpen over the SE
packfan98
Moderator
It's hard to believe we may have our second system in a row where we want more SE Ridging.