Pattern Januworry

[packfan98]

Trough on the 12z GEFS still looks too positively tilted at hr 120 on the mean for a big phase bomb where we need it. Definitely a positive run early on compared to previous runs though.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Trough on the 12z GEFS still looks too positively tilted at hr 120 on the mean for a big phase bomb where we need it. Definitely a positive run early on compared to previous runs though.

I like the more digging, but don't like the strong TPV press.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Regardless of a big phased bomb this is increasingly looking like at least a novelty event for some in SC/NC/VA

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Seeing a lot of “fingers of moisture” trying to really get that phase going but this piece of energy and moisture is what will at least bring a novelty event to some in the SE

 

[stephend122080]

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Considering we've had NW trends with previous systems, this isn't a bad look

Sent from my SM-A115U1 using Tapatalk

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Def some improvement

 

[BullCityWx]

 

[BullCityWx]

Yet another cold snow?

 

[Deleted member 1449]

Close!

 

[Hypsometric]

Noticing a trend south with our TPV during the storm, no bueno for the Ne but we have wiggle room View attachment 109910

If that trend continues it could throw an unforeseen additional piece of northern stream energy into the equation. Happened with this last storm and is actually what brought it back.

 

[GaWx]

Take with a big grain due to cold bias, but fwiw here’s the improved CMC clown:

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[KyloG]

View attachment 109928View attachment 109929View attachment 109930

The globals are showing huge bombs off the coast. Regardless if we get hit would be great to see this plaster the east.

 

[Oconeexman]

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Eerily similar to the last dud...I mean good snow yall saw! Reel it in fellas

 

[Arcc]

Seeing a lot of “fingers of moisture” trying to really get that phase going but this piece of energy and moisture is what will at least bring a novelty event to some in the SE View attachment 109922

Could not be a novelty event. Keep the s/w positive and keep diving it west and before long you are gonna get a overrunning event. You can see several GEFS members are picking up on that. You can also see moisture pooling on the coast. This is what we watch east of NC/SC.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Cary_Snow95]

 

[Ollie Williams]

Could not be a novelty event. Keep the s/w positive and keep diving it west and before long you are gonna get a overrunning event. You can see several GEFS members are picking up on that. You can also see moisture pooling on the coast. This is what we watch east of NC/SC.

This is honestly a really great look. Dig it a little more to slow the wave down, and you have a big dog in the SE like the 18z GFS yesterday.

 

[iGRXY]

Keep the flatter look at least another 48 hours. 9.9/10 times we know this is going to come further NW. Especially with no blocking over top. This could be that 0.1 it’s a flat wave that doesn’t phase until too late but that really hasn’t been the trend this year and we know storms are going to come further NW. It’s just a matter of how much.