Pattern Januworry

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[bingcrosbyb]

Euro s/w looking west of GFS so far. Tall ridge out west. 850s crashing in Texas.

 

[stephend122080]

Euro is digging more to the SW, but don't how much it will be able to sharpen over the SE

Look at that ridge poking north in the western US

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[griteater]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Euro getting closer to a overrunning setup

 

[Ollie Williams]

The Euro digs more, but there isn't a strong enough WAR to push the northern stream out and allow for the southern energy to tilt negative.

 

[Ollie Williams]

The Euro digs more, but there isn't a strong enough WAR to push the northern stream out and allow for the southern energy to tilt negative.

We're relying on the WAR ridge to trend stronger, which honestly isn't a bad place to be at this point.

 

[Chandler]

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

The Euro digs more, but there isn't a strong enough WAR to push the northern stream out and allow for the southern energy to tilt negative.

Seeing that this is a feature that can ramp up at a moments notice I’m ok with that right now. Fast flow is my primary concern atm but a ridge nosing in would certainly help.

 

[jackendrickwx]

45 and sunny, feels warm tbh. Hadn’t cracked 40 since Thursday

 

[NCSNOW]

45 and sunny, feels warm tbh. Hadn’t cracked 40 since Thursday

Havent been above freezing since then, until today. Unless we hit 33 yesterday.

 

[olhausen]

19 degrees was the low this morning. 3 straight nights below 20 degrees with 9 being the coldest. Still have a little snow on the ground from the little 3 quarters of an inch event on Wednesday night which has lasted much longer then the 8 inch snow did. It’s a furnace outside now with a temp of 45 degrees. ?

 

[Arcc]

Euro getting closer to a overrunning setup

Sure is. Nice seeing the SW flow aloft from 500mb to 700mb.

 

[Stephenb888]

Just out of curiosity for you veterans in here, how many times have you seen what we are seeing right now in the models (low basically going out to sea) actually come back and work out in our favor?

 

[Hypsometric]

Just out of curiosity for you veterans in here, how many times have you seen what we are seeing right now in the models (low basically going out to sea) actually come back and work out in our favor?

More times than I can remember. Especially for central and eastern Carolinas, even more so NC.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Just out of curiosity for you veterans in here, how many times have you seen what we are seeing right now in the models (low basically going out to sea) actually come back and work out in our favor?

 

[Deleted member 1449]

I believe the 2010 Christmas storm is one such example--the @Rain Cold guarantee.

More times than I can remember. Especially for central and eastern Carolinas, even more so NC.

 

[Hypsometric]

I believe the 2010 Christmas storm is one such example--the @Rain Cold guarantee.

Absolutely. So many examples. Some turned out to be big, some small. I’ve seen the GFS/Euro shift west 900 miles in 5 or 6 days from this far out with one small event we had about 5 years ago.

 

[Stephenb888]

More times than I can remember. Especially for central and eastern Carolinas, even more so NC.

Yeah I figured many times for eastern Carolinas. I meant more for upstate sc, nw Georgia, etc.

 

[GaWx]

Low of 28 at KSAV, coldest since the 26 of Dec of 2020. Hope my Sago palms are ok. Was a pretty long freeze, but should be ok. Also, they have mulch around them.