Pattern Januworry

[Myfrotho704_]

Gonna be funny when we go from that to a off the EC late bloomer tonight at 00z, GFS digs the S/W wayyyy SW of the ensemble mean

Bump

 

[Stephenb888]

Beautiful .. I’d rather it show this then be in the bullseye View attachment 109852

Eh idk. Don’t wanna be in the bullseye but not really liking where it’s been lately. This is nowhere near the look you want if your anywhere but NC.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Bump

To be expected to be honest the operational should follow the mean in some way

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

This thing seems like it's going to bomb, it's just a matter of where:

The northeast is more likely, for sure.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Yeah, it looks like it needs to dig to be good for us. Is it possible, Yes. Is it likely, No.

 

[BullCityWx]

Yeah, it looks like it needs to dig to be good for us. Is it possible, Yes. Is it likely, No.

And as fun as that 18z run was, it sure didn’t have a lot of ensemble support. I’d rather have that right now than any single OP run.

 

[Stephenb888]

How often do you see what the GFS showed tonight (7 days out) and it end up being the opposite. What would we need to get this thing to take a path that would have it bombing around Florida or a little before?

 

[Stormlover]

The GFS is back to reality with this look. I never believed that a sub 970mb low off the NC bringing blizzard Conditions to Central and Eastern NC/SC was really posssible. Those storms are named after Nor'Easters and not south'easters for a reason.

It's possible. No reason it couldn't, it's done it before.

 

[NCSNOW]

Ice breaking out SC , giving it a shot here

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Down to 27 after a high of 40...may have a good shot at 22 early in the morning.

Btw: The internet not working as well when it's cold deal is definitely legit, it's been in and out outside of for a few hours midday today for the past couple days.

 

[Arcc]

So yeah that's one solution like it never even got started... We toss none have even gave this sorta look whatsoever

The southern wave just vanished. That is crazy even for the GFS.

 

[NCSNOW]

Close

 

[NCSNOW]

Ukmet is late

 

[jrips27]

Made it down to 26.4 at about 10:30pm here but we’ve since leveled off at 27

Just a classic cold winter night

 

[GaWx]

The temperatures here are being held up by clouds. Now it is 39.2, which still made for my coldest walk of the winter so far. This time last night was barely above freezing with rain.

 

[Cary_Snow95]

18.1/18.0

 

[dsaur]

The temperatures here are being held up by clouds. Now it is 39.2, which still made for my coldest walk of the winter so far. This time last night was barely above freezing with rain.

Glad you dodge the zr. I've got 26.4 here. The cold is holding in these days, with an active gulf. I expect to see a storm come up in a matter of two or three days with some timing. It's the sneaky ones that bolt from the blue, when it's cold. You kind of expect something when it's 70, but when the cold holds in, it's so often dry.

 

[RollTide18]

I’m guessing the Euro was a nothing burger?

 

[jrips27]

I’m guessing the Euro was a nothing burger?

Correct. It was a whiff. Not seeing anything real positive on the EPS either.

 

[GaWx]

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
145 AM EST SUN JAN 23 2022

...DAILY RECORD LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE SET AT GAINESVILLE FLORIDA
YESTERDAY...

THE HIGH TEMPERATURE AT GAINESVILLE WAS ONLY 46 DEGREES YESTERDAY.
THIS BROKE THE PREVIOUS DAILY RECORD LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE OF 47
DEGREES SET IN 1985.

THIS WAS THE LOWEST DAILY MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE SINCE A HIGH OF 41
DEGREES SET ON 01-03-2018.