ill take this look at 144 on the canadian, plenty of time
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Pattern Januworry
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So basically the icon/UK/CMC have a close setup to legit snow at hour 144…. Yes
Every storm effects what happens to the next one so until we solve 144 we’re certainly not going to be for sure on 200+
ATLwxfan
Member
It was the Canadian that sniffed out Dec 2017 and Jan 2018 before the other models. Just sayin’.
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But I’m still careful due to its cold bias and crazy uncle tendency. I take it with a gigantic grain of salt.
ATLwxfan
Member
Another thing of interest. These “warm ups” in between cold shots have grown less impressive in the short range. Something to watch.
Also the GFS looks stuck…probably trying to compute some ridonculous snow output numbers
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Also the GFS looks stuck…probably trying to compute some ridonculous snow output numbers
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BHS1975
Member
I wonder if the cold bias got fixed in the new update.
Broken024
Member
Gfs has decent NC storm around hour 300. Looks like a ton of cold coming in after
Well, I know from the all knowing (lol) Maxar that the Canadian ensemble has retained its strong cold bias. So, based on that, I doubt it. But if the ensemble output is still based on the older version of the operational, it is possible the operational cold bias was fixed or reduced while the ensemble remains strongly cold biased.
It may only be the cold Canadian but hey it’s not nothing. Hoping the Euro can throw us a bone. I’d just like to see a high pressure dominated NA with some squiggly isobars in the gulf. I don’t even care if it shows a fantasy storm at this juncture. It can squish it into oblivion idc.
iGRXY
Member
Like I said a couple of days ago and what others have said. Those long range storms are always fun to look at but really don't expect any legit winter storm to show up until we get in the day 5-7 range before the short term models take over. Long range and extended medium range is good to see where the pattern is and if the players are all on the field to get a storm. Right now there is several waves coming both from Canada and an active southern jet. Couple that with a +PNA and an MJO in phase 8 and COD and potential of a -AO and -NAO at the same time for probably about 2-3 weeks means we have all the players together. I think Jan 20th - Feb 7 is likely the best shot but even next week is starting to get very interesting with us finally getting into the medium range and storm signals honking left and right.
Yeah CMC was really good
Canadian brought that northern piece down through the ND/MT border.
Holy chit 
KSPA still at 39.2.
Parker
Member
? ?
GFS was just squashed
Looks a bit nipply towards the end..
