As I just posted, the 12Z EPS looks better than the 0Z late. Regardless, the next two weeks look like fun times (chilly overall with decent chances of wintry precip in mainly more favored parts of the SE (not here lol). After that, the main concern is the possibility of the western +PNA ridge retrograding back into the E Pacific and ending the +PNA by late this month. That’s what models are suggesting. Even so, I’d have hope for the +PNA to return in Feb depending largely on the MJO.
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Pattern Januworry
- Thread starter SD
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NoSnowATL
Member
Perfect
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Currently am working towards getting a map together of the snow event that ended early-mid day yesterday in NC. In the meantime, I was able to put together this map of a trace sleet event that occurred on December 21st over the SW piedmont of NC. Most of these reports are from mPING & this forum
That’s a great look I’d expect a better snow mean imo tho, but the overall look at H5 is there 
Good job
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Enjoy this while it lasts, pacific jet is going to be full scale retreat after mid-month. Only a matter of time before the -PNA comes back
Ain’t have crap in Spartanburg. All the sleet mpings were Greenville county
weatherfide
Member
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Most of that Atlanta and south is sleet and then turning to rain before ending. Still very far out and the overall pattern is all that's important right now.
Thanks for the work you do but I can confirm none of southern Meck county saw a trace. Maybe a min of mixed sleet. No biggie just commenting
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
A trace of snow or sleet is any snow or sleet that falls but does not stick to the ground. That includes a rain/sleet mix.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Duly noted. Here's SC for the same system. Rain mixed w/ sleet near the state line in the morning hours.
Jessy89
Member
I never saw that sleet in Pickens county not sure how I missed it
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I saw mPING report there in the wee hours of the morning, likely when most were asleep. Seemed legitimate given what happened immediately downstream
I will say, I may have been hallucinating but I thought I got a couple of pingers around 6am or so. Probably hallucinating
That wouldn’t be surprising. In the meantime, I’m going to thoroughly enjoy the next 2 1/2 weeks or so wx wise (it is such a relief) and hope that we get another round of this starting in early or mid February even though La Niña climo doesn’t favor it. Maybe by then we can get a renewed -NAO/-AO combo along with another period of left side MJO.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
NAO/AO are almost certainly going to be positive for the foreseeable future, but that probably won't hinder opportunities much the next few weeks.
NoSnowATL
Member
Good thread to read if y’all have time.
You got it dude
Weenie 12Z CFS time: has 7 Arctic highs giving cold periods over the SE through the end of the run (Feb 5th). So, cooldowns followed by warmups etc but with no extended torchy periods, even during 1/20-2/5, which actually averages slightly BN. Plenty of Gulf/coastal Atlantic storminess including some Miller A action. IF this were to be close to reality, I don’t think there’d be too many complaints.
Here are a couple of highlights for your entertainment:
Here are a couple of highlights for your entertainment:
NoSnowATL
Member
So we have one around the 15th and then again 2 weeks later. Nice!