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Pattern Januworry

Reinforcement cold shot after the storm makes things pretty icy. Can we trend a bit south/ west? Alabama so close to be an the game IMO!
 
Based on strength and a deepening lp, precip looks a little light to the north and west. Even without a NW trend, I'd expect a bit more precip to the north and west.
TW
 
griteater said:
This is one of my wx board pet peeves when someone creates a storm thread, but doesn't mention that it was created...so good job here guys
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Mine too grit. I usually realize it when this thread kind of goes silent and then I find there is already a 5-6 page storm thread on the board I've missed. :)
 
accu35 said:
Reinforcement cold shot after the storm makes things pretty icy. Can we trend a bit south/ west? Alabama so close to be an the game IMO!
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No this is definitely a tenn , north GA , SC and NC storm . Maybe extreme northern Alabama . Not for central bama and for sure not down your way


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Storm #2

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MSnowAtl said:
This might be a crazy question but the 540 line is in central GA why is it showing so much green. I mean it got snow in Metro Atlanta but I with the 540 further south, I would have thought that the blue would expand further south.
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Yeah it’s strange. If it amps up and we get high rates…I dunno how we don’t get a more favorable profile.


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GFS even starting to show next Tuesday/Wednesday system like the Euro. Good stuff. Let's keep the trends my friends!!!
 
ATLwxfan said:
Yeah it’s strange. If it amps up and we get high rates…I dunno how we don’t get a more favorable profile.


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Yeah, those areas showing rain north of where the 540 line has slipped south have BL temp issues. The sounding is mostly snow if heavy enough rates but with temps at surface too warm, light precip mostly rain. The further south you go the less you can depend on the 540 line as your rn/sn line
 
Let’s see what the Canadian has to offer…keep an eye on that low in Mexico


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metwannabe said:
Yeah, those areas showing rain north of where the 540 line has slipped south have BL temp issues. The sounding is mostly snow if heavy enough rates but with temps at surface too warm, light precip mostly rain. The further south you go the less you can depend on the 540 line as your rn/sn line
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Yeah that’s where you like the ICON. A bit more juice.


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And for the Atlanta area and points E&NE in Georgia, IF the wedge temps are just a few degrees too warm at the surface and trend colder which happens often in wedging situations, all things being equal, it would be a much bigger deal.
 
griteater said:
Brief bouts of it like here at 180...but I wouldn't sleep on one developing

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We're getting waves dropping through every couple/three days. If we can get one to go boom off the coast and park it in the 50/50 spot, even for just a bit, you're going to see a big east coast winter storm. Active pattern for sure.
 
Rain Cold said:
We're getting waves dropping through every couple/three days. If we can get one to go boom off the coast and park it in the 50/50 spot, even for just a bit, you're going to see a big east coast winter storm. Active pattern for sure.
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End of GFS run goes legit, mod El Nino split flow with big wave in SW and cold up top....somebody along E Coast gets hit hard in that scenario
 
griteater said:
End of GFS run goes legit, mod El Nino split flow with big wave in SW and cold up top....somebody along E Coast gets hit hard in that scenario
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I agree! If the map you posted a bit above comes close to happening.....the trof is going to undercut that ridge up over Alaska and keeping the cold coming down and having el nino like energy into the SW and then kicking east. IF we don't score in that pattern, It is time to RETIRE!! lol
 
Rain Cold said:
We're getting waves dropping through every couple/three days. If we can get one to go boom off the coast and park it in the 50/50 spot, even for just a bit, you're going to see a big east coast winter storm. Active pattern for sure.
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Exactly. And to me, that's what you really want to happen for the best chance of big storm. Get a good pattern locked in for multiple days, while the chances keep coming down constantly like contestants on the price is right. (or rather every 1-3 days)

Each chance doesn't have to materialize either. It only takes one jackpot winner to make a winter memorable.
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
GFS on its fourth system now… we’re going to be sleep deprived
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There is simply no way! The skies will not have had time to heal from the 1st three storms. (sarcasm)

Stuff to track. The pain of Decmber my actually start to fade soon. :)
 
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