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Pattern Januworry

FC9CC4BE-2783-4041-B125-61D9607432F1.gifHow can a cold lover in the SE not like this GEFS trend of today in the PNA? This is the best it has looked in a long time with it now turning positive in the means late. Also, I’m really interested in how strong a -PNA December will end up at. This sure looks like a top 10 Dec -PNA and quite possibly is top 5 (since 1950).
 
Wouldn't call it a pattern change. This would definitely be a needle threader. Well timed wave in between two massive ridges and a very marginal cold air source. That could happen anytime in winter in any regime.
This is definitely a pattern change, not sure what you’re talking about
 
View attachment 100283How can a cold lover in the SE not like this GEFS trend of today in the PNA? This is the best it has looked in a long time with it now turning positive in the means late. Also, I’m really interested in how strong a -PNA December will end up at. This sure looks like a top 10 Dec -PNA and quite possibly is top 5 (since 1950).
It was top 2 December -PNA as of Dec 20. Might be strongest ever
 
You know in retrospect the models never seem to give it all back at once. Seems a bit more gradual. But maybe more rewarding


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Let’s just hope there’s some qpf coming down the road. As much as we needed a pattern change for temps, we also need a change regarding precip - at least here in central NC.
TW
 
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