It’s ok but not perfect, I’d want that L more in the gulf and the H over Accuweather HQ. But she might work.
Pattern Januworry
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Just checking to see if winter is still cancelled after Monday
I would just like to point out I called a pattern change and rumblings from December 27-January 3rd weeks and weeks ago … we now may have snow on the ground on January 3rd and if that’s not a pattern change i dont know what Is (yes this is my victory lap for once lol)
Wouldn't call it a pattern change. This would definitely be a needle threader. Well timed wave in between two massive ridges and a very marginal cold air source. That could happen anytime in winter in any regime.
Yep, sometimes things just happen, even during a bad pattern, that system in feb 2020 for NC was a good example of snow during a bad pattern
Before this storm consistent 70 degree days and a massive SER … after this storm none of that .. no dominating SER no 70s actual colder air .. pattern = changed
GEFS is really liking this system for some reason 
Since we’re so good at threading the needle let’s rolllll 
GEFS likes the idea of another secondary low setup (the mean is seperate from Monday’s system) 
Like Webb has pointed out phase 7-8 are the most favorable for getting NC winter weather .. maybe that’s why we are getting so many good trends instead of the other way around .. just the pattern seeing what it’s suppose to do
Look like per today we technically in a phase 8 MJO per RMM chart. Finally 
So can we get a translation for us people that don’t understand?? Lol
Strong polar vortex means it’s less likely there will be cold shots into NA. Not ideal if you want wintry weather.
Two weeks ago the models were completely opposite of what they are forecasting now. In other words, they have no clue at that range.