Lol that HP footprint out of Canada 
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Pattern Januworry
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
The euro control has been sniffing something out in the 240-300 range over the last three days. We’ll see.
iGRXY
Member
Definitely a good thing to see the GEFS to continue progressing cold shots in. Even if we warm afterwards it’s nice to see the pattern at least be progressive so we don’t get stuck in the SER and have periods of warm and cold. Those East of the Apps can still get a few more cool days in there even during the ridge from CAD so at a minimum it’s nice seeing that back on the models.
We’ve trended away from a monster -PNA on the euro 
We’re close to squeezing that ridge to where it retrogrades north of AK, sort of like what grit alluded to on twitter 
Slow down the southern stream wave a bit and we would of had a fantasy storm on the euro 
Might get something in VA out of that
Very close to CAD issues
iGRXY
Member
I actually like this look if we can drop that vortex close to the lakes and slow down the vort in the SW.
Booo
Wow deathly close to greatness 
This is kind of what I was trying to point out yesterday .. TPV slides south we get a better possibility for cold and winter weather but if it slides north this becomes severe weather … regardless we are looking at good precip which we need
that evolution around AK/north AK and the NPAC ridge headed poleward is what interest me most about that euro run
Long range PNA forecast is better than yesterday, but still negative.
Huge fan of this trend to a cutoff ridge north of Alaska 
ajr
Member
Stronger -NAO as well
There’s gonna be no shortage of cold air entering NA, and this look is more favorable for the SE given the closed off ridge north of Alaska
The EPS definitely showed improvements in the Pacific without a question. However the EPS isn't the only ensemble that show us heading in the right direction. The GEFS also makes improvements as well
This is how the GEFS looks at 366 Hours out vs 360
Notice how the GOA ridge have moved significantly northward towards AK and the North Pole. Also I see less of a -PNA/western Cold dump and therefore less of a SE ridge. The NAO doesn't seem too bad ether. Still have work to do,but we would be getting closer towards a true pattern change. Keeping trending like this and maybe we get a pattern that favorable for cold(even severe cold)and above average chances for winter storms in the SE US.
Yep, our goal here is less amped GOA ridge and higher amped ridge north of AK (like the EPS) 2018 is a great example of the similar cutoff ridge north of AK but in 2018 we matched a perfect western ridge with the cutoff ridge north of AK, really hard to do that together, 2014 is a second one