mydoortotheworld
Member
What’s so crazy is that this is <100hrs. It’s the GFS so I’m trying not to jump with excitement. But it’s definitely less likely at this point to change drastically, but I’ll stop myself from saying more
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Pattern January Joke
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
You know I can’t handle a D5 lollipop. I told y’all we needed to tone this back!
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
New England gets smoked! Hopefully they will shut up on twitter now
I mean - until there's model agreement it's highly likely to change lol
Kuchera is really close to the 10:1 ratio (shown above).
This is hard to ignore,
There's some St Benards & Great Danes in this group.
It's been a long time for the I-40 South to I-85 crowd.
omg lmao and its only 4 days away
Good luck trying to stop it now. That was a violent tug NW. Hope y’all are happy with yourselves 
Makeitsnow
Member
As good as it is another jump like that and many are dealing with rain or mixing.
Parts of northern Florida wins as well:
broken025
Member
AI GFS looks good. Surface temp is warm though.
canadian also about to put the crayons down and join the adult table
The cold that follows this is icing on the cake. Then it looks like we are about to get hit again 3 days latter. see where she goes
BKWRN29
Member
I would agree with that before the gulf coast storm last year… now I am hesitant because that storm did not NW trend. Our condo in orange beach got 8 inches..we live 4 hours north and got a few flurries.Good luck trying to stop it now. That was a violent tug NW. Hope y’all are happy with yourselves
thinking the AI models are a bit too coarse in this situation (especially the 64-member weathernext 2 ensemble)
major synoptic differences should be monitored, but if they are looking about the same at H5, I wouldn't burn the bridges yet
NBAcentel
Member
Big west jog on the GEFS 
NBAcentel
Member
Seems to me the Canadian is struggling 
Snowking2.0
Member
So does this mean that us North Alabama folks is out of the game?
Round 2 coming down the backside on the GFS
broken025
Member
Following the trend of other models though
Absolutely not in any way out of the game. I’ve been beating the drum all week long. I’m nervous sitting in central Alabama but cautiously optimistic.
Tokenfreak
Member
Looks like us in the Charleston area are now out of play?
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
FoothillsWX
Member
Nobody is in or out at this stage
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Yeah I think we should've learned last year that the Canadian isn't very useful in the long range, lol.
Some of the stuff it was spitting out was crazy.
Some of the stuff it was spitting out was crazy.
Stormlover
Member
NW trend! 
12z GFS paints snow over my area of southern Louisiana! More Gulf moisture and a stronger trough seem to be helping. I'm thrilled!
rburrel2
Member
12z GFS looks like the 00z Ukmet.
Xlhunter3
Member
Last 6 GEFS runs. 
Stormsfury
Member
Verbatim, no. Still changes over and thumps a quick 1 to 3 (standard or non Kuchera ratio)
GEFS is about to have some bangers
HailCore
Member
The number of members with some sort of a decent size storm nearly doubled from 06z
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Still going on my source, but it looks like at least 12/20 are hits.
Could this continue shifting NW into AL/TN/VA?Good luck trying to stop it now. That was a violent tug NW. Hope y’all are happy with yourselves
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That point is moot if you get that much QPF