Looks mainly for the mountains at the moment. Might not be seeing something you can see.
Also if you take a look at the 540 map it makes you think “dang it is looking good!” But surface temps is killing us here.
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Pattern January Joke
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Also if you take a look at the 540 map it makes you think “dang it is looking good!” But surface temps is killing us here.
I would take this! And run with it for ATL
NBAcentel
Member
1 more of these and we cook. 50/50 low would be super helpful here
trackersacker
Member
BREAKING. The bad overnight trends have ended with the Euro 
Looks like we got precip breaking out in North Texas/South Arkansas on the second system. Think the Euro gonna try to give it a go.
Looks like it’s going to be too warm. 
But so dang close.
But so dang close.
NBAcentel
Member
Euro/euro AI are a few tweaks away from a really nice second storm, euro is a hit for #1 though. But man if you could bring those lower heights down further into SE Canada, that second storm will trend colder, as seen here 
First
Second
First
Second
NBAcentel
Member
Lots of potential here. Gonna be fun times in here the next week
dsaur
Member
Now we just need for that to fall at a 12 to one rate, lol. It's been so long since I got buried down here. I've had a couple of sleets, like sledding sleets, a horrid zr storm. No power for two weeks. Had several good snows....one ten and a half inches. Really spread out. I'm talking over 30 years since the blizzard. Fun's been scarce. Even the zr horror was in the late 80's. I can't even get what I really don't want anymore, and you used to be able to count on your chances at zr.
dsaur
Member
Is that a stinky paper mill kind of smelly coastal fog? That looks like a Hound of the PaperMills kind of fog. Great pic! It's 62 here at 2:30 pm and that's usually a portent for a cold snap and a quick chance at timing....keep that abacus tuned up and humming....or clicking.
Wow, EPS is much improved as far as number of members showing snow for down this way 
I know none are large but that’s nearly double the number of members with snow.
I know none are large but that’s nearly double the number of members with snow.
Not bad crew! Not bad at all
Let’s make Friday an absolute unit
Let’s make Friday an absolute unit
NBAcentel
Member
Yeah EPS mean on that map is a bit misleading, not huge but a solid amount of light events, nearly half the members have something between the 2 timeframes 
Oconeexman
Member
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Nice overnight trends fellas! Now back to where it started looking for a few tweaks. Need that-nao to show up big over the weekend!
yankeesnow
Member
This is a very solid attempt at a last-minute save at least for parts of the mid atlantic...
HAPPY FRIDAY FAM 
NCSNOW
Member
Knew the Euro Familia was ready to lock in. #1 is under 7 days now. Start time crosses 120 hr mark by tommorow
NCWeatherNow
Member
Are we actually gonna lock in?
NCWeatherNow
Member
Attachments
NCWeatherNow
Member
packfan98
Moderator
6z Euro AI backed off. Not much precip.
packfan98
Moderator
6z GEFS looks slightly improved at the surface for both systems. As paltry as it is, one of the best snow means we’ve seen recently.
NCWeatherNow
Member
Remember that with warm ground temps, 50% of that is melting on contact if it falls.
packfan98
Moderator
Here’s where the 6z euro ends up. Maybe slightly weaker, but it’s difficult to tell how the energy would merge.
packfan98
Moderator
Yeah, but we are so far out that this map is a result of some members having nothing and a few with quite a bit more. Too soon to do anything but look for trends.
NCSNOW
Member
The flavor for #1 is a late swinger. Some 50/50 would help a lot, 6zGFS op shows how you can go to town , even moreso, if you can buy some time to cook/stew things a little longer, before she zips out to sea
NCSNOW
Member
Overrunning verse paste bomb suites folks the most.
But imo, #1 , it's eitheir get a phase or get nada. Rooting for a phaser will break more hearts why some win out. But it's the only shot any of us have outside the upslope crowd. Only option to roll the dice
But imo, #1 , it's eitheir get a phase or get nada. Rooting for a phaser will break more hearts why some win out. But it's the only shot any of us have outside the upslope crowd. Only option to roll the dice
NCWeatherNow
Member
Paste bombs favors NE NC
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Record high for today set at O’Hare at midnight, 60 degrees.
NCSNOW
Member
NCWeatherNow
Member
Virginia special
Thats the 00Z
MichaelJ
Member
Just thought I'd drop this here:
Oh and chance of this verifying is .001%
Oh and chance of this verifying is .001%
Brent
Member
That's the most active I've seen the GEFS so far here mostly next weekend
NCWeatherNow
Member
You need a lot more 0s
Brb posting this to all my socials and calling it a forecast
rburrel2
Member
I know people are worried about boundary layer issues with both systems, and rightfully so, but for the 2nd system… we will actually have an extremely cold and dry airmass in place out ahead of it. That leaves a lot of room for things to trend colder at the surface.
For example: the gfs has GSP at 28/1 Saturday morning. Won’t shock me if the boundary isn’t that big of a problem with the 2nd storm.
For example: the gfs has GSP at 28/1 Saturday morning. Won’t shock me if the boundary isn’t that big of a problem with the 2nd storm.
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Things may get real this weekend. Hopefully things don’t go to the crapper. Most ensemble support for many areas so far this winter. Let’s take more steps forward and not backwards! 
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