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Wintry January 8-9 Wintery Weather Potential!

You do have to laugh, if the "big cities" in the NE had any shot at this, Bastardi and Weather Bell would have had 4 posts up already with 2-3 videos. His last post or video for this one was yesterday! :D:D:D:D
Very true, many NE folks were thinking this was gonna trend towards them but the red flag was the suppressive 50/50 like feature near SE Canada/shitload of blocking and weakness under
 
The area of the piedmont from Mocksville to Statesville has fared well before in these type scenarios. Wouldn't surprise me if they did better than their surrounding areas.
 
NAM also finally looks more realistic w/ its depiction of snow in the mountains of southern VA

The real heavy banding pivots right over the blue ridge near the NC-VA border.

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have to say that stall and pivot is looking good down this way too. Banding just sits over areas for multiple hours.
 
I see lots of mixed precip over my backyard (as usual) and some maps that indicated lots of sleet. For some reason, I'm not thinking there will be tons of sleet. Usually those setups are when we are below freezing at the surface and that pesky warm nose makes those wonderful 10:1 snow maps look stupid. Because we will be so warm this time and where the SkewT charts are above freezing, I would tend to favor rain or mangled snowflakes when it's not snowing. It doesn't look like there would be much refreezing of those raindrops on the way down. I could be totally wrong though. Anyone else have any thoughts on getting tons of sleet with this setup?
 
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