Poor bird, if dude knew how to act he would be here, looks like Wilkesboro will probably Do well with this event as well
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Wintry January 8-9 Wintery Weather Potential!
- Thread starter Ollie Williams
- Start date
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- Tags
- winter
Seems like these deformation bands are always a crap shoot with regards to where they set up and how long they last that the modeling often doesn’t predict them well, but early every model is putting it right over the Triad or thereabouts and parking it there for a while, so I’d have to feel good if I were there (relative to people outside the mountains and foothills, anyways). Us Triangle folks are going to have to hope the modeling is wrong and it doesn’t cut out before it moves further east.
Talk about local, mesoscale banding 
packfan98
Moderator
Precip shield looks further north on the Nam's. The placement of the low did not appear to trend NW though. Probably just a more expansive precip shield to help those VA folks.
I’m not qualified to do this, so don’t take this too seriously, but here’s my predictions for fun.
Fayetteville: T-dusting
Rockingham: T-dusting
Raleigh: T-0.5”
Durham: T-1”
Greensboro: 1-3”
Roxboro: 1-3”
Salisbury: 1-3”
Charlotte: T-1”
Wilkesboro: 2-4”
Hickory: 1-3”
Roanoke: 2-4”
Fancy Gap: 3-6”
Boone: 4-8”
Asheville: 3-6”
Hendersonville: 3-6”
Spartanburg: T-0.5”
Greenville, SC: T-dusting
Probably will see 8-12”+ in the higher elevations and ski resorts.
I also think there’s some boom/bust potential for the Piedmont if the ULL banding favors any one spot for longer than expected.
Fayetteville: T-dusting
Rockingham: T-dusting
Raleigh: T-0.5”
Durham: T-1”
Greensboro: 1-3”
Roxboro: 1-3”
Salisbury: 1-3”
Charlotte: T-1”
Wilkesboro: 2-4”
Hickory: 1-3”
Roanoke: 2-4”
Fancy Gap: 3-6”
Boone: 4-8”
Asheville: 3-6”
Hendersonville: 3-6”
Spartanburg: T-0.5”
Greenville, SC: T-dusting
Probably will see 8-12”+ in the higher elevations and ski resorts.
I also think there’s some boom/bust potential for the Piedmont if the ULL banding favors any one spot for longer than expected.
Damn! What did S.C. do to piss you off! You know it’s got the HRRR on it’s side
iGRXY
Member
I got very nervous watching the 12K nam as the soundings were awful in the upstate until lunchtime but the 3K nam was much colder. For example: the NAM has a 2-3 degree warm nose at 12z where as the 3K has it at or below freezing. Same at 15z. The NAMS are off by as much as 3-4 degrees aloft. But you'd much rather have the 3k on your side with the soundings.
SimeonNC
Member
I'm surprised GSP even issued warnings for Iredell county and other places around I40 because the last I saw they only had them forecast to get about 2-3 inches.
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Sent from my Z983 using Tapatalk
Fro happy 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Lol SREF trying to bring snow to DC
Dem DC folks sending prayers up for the SREF to be right, lol
This upper level low backside snow reminds me of the one after the December 2018 storm, another burst of snow happened after the main show associated with a upper level level low and dropped 1-3
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I knew it was just a matter of time before the models finally caught onto the potential for snow in SW Virginia.
backend keeps shifting south, I may have to up it there.
Really ugly NAM run from my backyard eastward to RDU.
I just remember how bad the SREFs burned them during Snowquester in March 2013. ?
No chance. It will be partly cloudy up there. Seen it many times.
MichaelJ
Member
You do have to laugh, if the "big cities" in the NE had any shot at this, Bastardi and Weather Bell would have had 4 posts up already with 2-3 videos. His last post or video for this one was yesterday! 