It really is the wildcard in all of this. I have a feeling that there will be areas that outside of the spots forecasted to get accumulating snow right now that will get 2-3 inches out of that.
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Wintry January 8-9 Wintery Weather Potential!
- Thread starter Ollie Williams
- Start date
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- Tags
- winter
Don’t take this seriously LOL 
real talk though I’d be excited about a backside band over anything on the front
real talk though I’d be excited about a backside band over anything on the front
Why not? 3-4 here looks good
I'm intrigued by the front end thump on the mesoscale models. Even if we do get a front end thump we'll likely see most of the piedmont changeover to rain by late morning or early afternoon. I wonder if rates are heavy enough we could squeeze in a light dusting before the changeover.
Tonight’s NAM run is the first one I’m paying much attention to as a likely solution. It is now just under 48 hours now when the deformation band is projected to be coming through. This is when it is in its wheelhouse. This is obviously when most of us east of the mountains are most likely to see non liquified snow.
Don’t know if this matters but I still find this interesting 
NAM trying to show something in the front end, maybe we’re getting there ? Still not that good 
If I recall correctly the GFS showed the December 2018 event starting as rain for central NC but we went straight to snow. We picked up about 6-7" of very wet snow before we changed over to a very cold rain by late morning.
Stormlover
Member
Dry? lol,what are you looking at
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
If anything it looks like the nam is trying to be dry. (At least drier than the hrrr)
That warm nose on the NAM is just ugly, probably right
iGRXY
Member
Snow is thumping in the upstate by 10am. And we are right at freezing.
Jessy89
Member
Nam has north of 85 a nice band of snow in upstate
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
iGRXY
Member
Im focusing on the upstate. Not NC
However the second backend band looks better this NAM run, wow 
TarHeelSnow
Member
Why in the last run did it seem to kinda stop in central NC before moving east? Like why would a big deform band not translate to the eastern half of the state?
Unraveling of the ULL
that brings snow down to CAE. Not happening.
Yay 
Somebody is gonna get lucky and thump on the front side for 30 minutes 