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Wintry January 8-9 Wintery Weather Potential!
- Thread starter Ollie Williams
- Start date
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- Tags
- winter
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Def a good run for both NAMs for N GA. Gotta watch to see if it all holds through tomorrow. I'm sure FFC will issue advisories outside the mountains if so.
Honestly those 850s when that band is coming through are really good so ratios should be good. Also it’s late afternoon and into the evening so there really is no sunlight to keep accumulating down.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
At this rate, Webb gonna see more snow staying home in FAY than going to VA.
Cad Wedge NC
Member
I was thinking the same thing.
NWS RAH calling for less than 1 inch for the "high end amount" for pretty much the eastern half of NC
These soundings in that snow band support thunder snow/big rates, extreme lift aloft + steep mid level lapse rates (7C+ !) can do wonders, can this please please hold 
NorthGaWinter4
Member
Yeah we are super close to 2”
ForsythSnow
Moderator
I have to wonder what implications the models completely failing at surface temps will have on tomorrow through tomorrow night's event. This morning we were 6 below the low and with us running 4 below the forecast temp for the current hour and only 2 degrees above the low, could we be seeing colder air than the models have? Are there any changes in the modeling for the upper levels that have been significantly colder so far? Might be time to look at what's happening ahead of the storm.
Yo Fro check my soundings? ?? I can’t read them and I am ashamed. ?
Looks good !
Monroe is looking about the same. This would be a good period of very intense rates with big flakes and the ability to pile up in a hurry. This is the type of band that I got under during the 2010 Christmas storm. Of the 5.4 inches I got during that storm, 4 inches fell in about 3 hours.
If this look continues with snow under the ULL this gives me vibes to a lesser version of March 2009 type setup
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We know that the snow maps are overdone and the warm nose will be slightly warmer than pronged. We've learned this through the years. Probably will still see some flakes fly for a little bit, though. Would be very shocked to see accums here.
CAMs are sold on that deform band already, one more loading in (worth noting they end at hour 48) 
Keep going I’m almost there.
In all seriousness, what a great day of trends. Few hours in that band? Money!
This is what I like to see, keep doing it just a little bit more, but not to much 
