Forget the snow, how about them ocean wedges
Probably the most likely scenario in this run, lol
Probably the most likely scenario in this run, lol
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Wintry January 8-9 Wintery Weather Potential!
- Thread starter Ollie Williams
- Start date
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- Tags
- winter
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Mercy
Can we sue the HRRR for false information and inaccuracy? Like this isn’t even fair to anyone.
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For areas further East, this is the band to watch, on the backside of the system 
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
The 48 hour HRRR is equivalent to Hour 200 on the GFS lol
iGRXY
Member
ULL stronger at 21 on the NAM. Generally about the same place maybe just a hair south but won't make much of a difference.
Looking at the hrrr compared to
The NAM so far, the HRRR is definitely underselling the warm nose
The NAM so far, the HRRR is definitely underselling the warm nose
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
GSP mentions possibility of lightning strikes under convective bands.....buckle up
iGRXY
Member
850s were warmer this run but are at or below freezing about the same time as the previous run (9z).
iGRXY
Member
Snow breaking out in the upstate at 39.
This isn’t far off from the hrrr at all, NAM 12km also has a front end band of snow 
?
wait...... it suxs for the backend stuff
towards the middle it trended stronger with the warm nose, dang 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
12km NAM is showing wet snow verbatim in central NC this run...
BUT the max temps in the column between the sfc and 500mb are +0-1C (green shading). If the warm nose is literally any stronger whatsoever than forecast, you're getting cold rain & sleet instead of wet snow & this snow is probably concrete and mixing w/ sleet verbatim given this look so your ratios are generously 4-5:1.
BUT the max temps in the column between the sfc and 500mb are +0-1C (green shading). If the warm nose is literally any stronger whatsoever than forecast, you're getting cold rain & sleet instead of wet snow & this snow is probably concrete and mixing w/ sleet verbatim given this look so your ratios are generously 4-5:1.
iGRXY
Member
Surface temperatures improved greatly over the upstate that run.