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Wintry January 8-9 Wintery Weather Potential!
- Thread starter Ollie Williams
- Start date
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- winter
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Statesville with the same amount of Charlotte? Not sure if I agree with that
That feature is interesting. If we can have enough lingering moisture that might be able to capitalize on it and give us a couple pockets of snow showers or light snow
BufordWX
Member
Have to think it's helping all the little flizzards and snow showers to the west here.
NoSnowATL
Member
keep moving south. ?
BufordWX
Member
I wouldn’t be surprised to see a advisory issued a little further south. I’m thinking maybe around Hall and Forsyth. Too uncertain beyond there, but at least I think some brief token flakes are a good possibility for our areas.
NoSnowATL
Member
Well Flowery Branch is a 15 min away. I’ll chase it.
NorthGaWinter4
Member
Yeah Forsyth and hall are close. I live on Forsyth Dawson line and some models have me at .02 and some have been close to 3”ish
NoSnowATL
Member
I really could have done without seeing the 18z NAMs and how they handle the deformation band for this area. Really going to be watching H85/7/5 on the 0z runs to see if it was a blip or we might pull off a decent last second shot of snow
JHS
Member
The rain/snow line will end up somewhere between the Dec 2009 storm and the Dec 2017 storm lines. Basically north of I-85 in NC and SC
Gotta like the front end shot
This makes me wonder bout the front end stuff, somehow, someway even in the worst possible setups we make flakes fly before we switch over
I know this isn’t that timeframe but thought this was interesting
I know this isn’t that timeframe but thought this was interesting
Pretty decent jump north on the hrrr, oooof, save last run in the archive
iGRXY
Member
Just to give you a look. This is at 10am tomorrow. This isn’t the long long range HRRR either. Look how much colder it is than either NAM by 2-3 degrees. That’s going to be telling. The RAP supports the HRRR so let’s see where we are after 0z runs.
Attachments
Lol that's brutal. Pretty good evidence of a lull here between the coastal and ull but I'm not sure that the intital shot won't be more impressive than the euro shows but we will be fighting poor thermals. On the bright side we probably end as something that isn't rainEuro shows precip parting like the Red Sea as it approaches our doorstep. ?Par for the course I guess. I just want to see flakes fly or sleet ping.
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Here’s what grit thinks
Brad P. has their Futurecast model up and it’s actually showing what appears to be a period of at least moderate snow from 4pm to 10pm for the whole Charlotte metro area on Friday. What’s odd about it is that the temperatures don’t drop any and stay 36-37 during that time on it. I would have to think that if that band comes through the area like that surface temps would drop a few degrees
It would imo
Starting to lock in our ULL location 
Pants nukesplosion
SnowNiner
Member
Euro shows precip parting like the Red Sea as it approaches our doorstep. ?
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Yeah one of the things I don't like about this event other than the marginal temps is the lack of precip. GSP expects about .5 inches. When you're dealing with marginal temps, warm ground, rain to snow, that's not very much to work with.
Just hoping to see some flakes fly. Not expecting any accumulation IMBY.
That is a near textbook low position for snow for much of NC. But these days? Lol
iGRXY
Member
HRRR is trying to be dry and I’m not buying that.
Yay front end ripping fatties
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Irs very possible with the low transfer. Kind of reminds me of the February storm last year
I’d watch that Atlantic convection, Killer coming like a thief through the night
I’m bringing this one back. “FearTheTransfer”
The front-end is looking really good for the triad! Although, there was more sleet mixing in.
That's some heavy snow!
That's some heavy snow!
Backside deform forming, that’s the cash money in this setup 
iGRXY
Member
Looked at a few of the soundings in the upstate and although the reflec showed rain or a mix, it was a snow sounding. Also it my experience the deform bands usually form on I85 and at time I40. That’s where I think they’ll be here so the drier solution after daybreak I’m not buying either
I'd certainly be watching the H7 moisture charts over the next 24 hrs to see where the dry slot aloft punches north. It's going to happen and doubt that you are going to get a seeder feeder here even if you do the dry slot is usually warm so it's drizzle/sleet for a while. 
What a di- beauty 
iGRXY
Member
850’s colder at 24 on the nam. Let’s see where she goes.