Wintry January 8-9, 2018 Ice threat

[POWERSTROKE]

This will be a good set up for us in the Piedmont. I have seen time after time when models show marginal temps we generally score on freezing rain. Many times models don't pick it up as its mist which is the worse but great for us being snow and ice contractors.

 

[MichaelJ]

Yeah the CAD in the Triad is always the last to release and sometimes never does until the event is over. Personally I don't want any zr but that is something we always seem to get some of here, even in mild winters

 

[NorthGaWinter4]

Is it me or do I think the CMC may be overdoing it a little?

No if anything it’s under doing it. It warms to 40 while raining in great cad areas. That doesn’t happen

 

[malak05]

Is it me or do I think the CMC may be overdoing it a little?

That's the interesting part if going off historical details it would more lean toward GFS/CMC etc being to warm in CAD region and moving out too fast but nothing is exactly the same.

 

[Storm5]

All in for e10

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[malak05]

Those GFS ensembles look pretty consistent especially with those amounts being ICE

 

[malak05]

Euro running anybody able to see those models

 

[ForsythSnow]

All in for e10

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That accounts for ice right? I think it does, but I'm just wondering.

 

[stormcentral]

CMC totals pretty rough uptick from 00z run not as bad as yesterdays 12z though

For whoever said wouldnt expect much there have been plenty of times SE TN has dealt with CAD ice freezing rain events. That is ominous. Power outages.

 

[Storm5]

Euro running anybody able to see those models

Yes as far as i know it does

 

[Storm5]

12z Euro look a tick slower with precip so far

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[Storm5]

Crazy low dew points for cad regions

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[malak05]

I wonder how fast the Euro will have the surface temps erode away compared to others

 

[Storm5]

Euro says move along brief period of zr possible

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[ForsythSnow]

Crazy low dew points for cad regions

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Slower, but colder. That's the thing about this. Still looks equally if not nastier.

 

[Storm5]

.

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[Storm5]

Euro quickly warms everyone

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[ForsythSnow]

Euro says move along brief period of zr possible View attachment 2609

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That's weird. I don't think it just wetbulbs out and temps start rising.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

All the models agree on the quick warm up. Looks like this one will be short lived

 

[sigwx]

Euro says move along brief period of zr possible View attachment 2609

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That rain well be very welcome as dry as it has been