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Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
But It's the NAM at 84...
RollTide18
Member
It is but it's the first we've seen this, let's see what the GFS and Euro say.
Cary_Snow95
Member
Yeah I could be completely wrong but I think that would begin to tug it back and turn it negative sooner
Cary_Snow95
Member
00z GFS is running. Let's see what we can do
I believe the concept is that 2nd round of energy would basically assist in phasing the storm which is basically one thing that could save this for parts of the SE
Cary_Snow95
Member
00z GFS is already slower with the s/w by hr42
Cary_Snow95
Member
The 00z GFS is already different than 12z by a good clip
12z
00z
12z
00z
Cary_Snow95
Member
00z CMC
Brett
Member
Is the CMC different too?00z CMC
Cary_Snow95
Member
Looks better than the 12z
Cary_Snow95
Member
The GFS is a touch slower with the lead wave and faster with the chaser
Brett
Member
Ok good. Glad to see that
Slower. Probably not enough but should make for a nice fish bomb
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Storm5
Member
Damn gonna be a tick too late
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Brett
Member
We still got time for it toDamn gonna be a tick too late
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Change which is Good
Hey guys. Zero wave interaction through 102. Not gonna happen this time
Storm5
Member
Cmc is a no go
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RollTide18
Member
Damn gonna be a tick too late
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GFS looks better than previously
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
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No!
GeorgiaGirl
Member
If the lead wave keeps slowing down we might well have something with the eastern SE. Might not be done if the Euro holds.
Brett
Member
We should have one more day till we know it won't happen right? Like tomorrow 12z?
Clem282340
Member
Is it trying to develop a low pressure right at LAGFS looks better than previously
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Close call indeed, if this s/w entered the US through Idaho and crashed south down into the southern Rockies this would put many here in business...
Really trying to establish moisture and a southerly flow
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GeorgiaGirl
Member
Hmmm, despite the lead wave trending slower this actually might've been another SE tick.
If this actually works out this wouldn't be a storm in which it's birth was in the GOM, just fwiw.
ETA: Actually ends up shifting closer to the NC coast.
If this actually works out this wouldn't be a storm in which it's birth was in the GOM, just fwiw.
ETA: Actually ends up shifting closer to the NC coast.
Brett
Member
Do we have enough time for it to possibly trend that way?
The actual low looked more SE.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The last 3 GFS runs have been nothing but good news w/ the handling of the northern stream wave near the eastern seaboard, just not sure if we can adjust this enough to crank out a big storm here in central NC, most likely no for now anyways.
Cary_Snow95
Member
It has def slowed down a good amount since the 00z last night. The real question is how long will it continue to trend this way
GeorgiaGirl
Member
It looked that way but later it does shift west.
Brett
Member
I hope the euro is a good trend west
Stormsfury
Member
There's been a trend of the big bowling ball upper low off California shifting west a little the last 3 runs as well.. it's taking baby steps
Cary_Snow95
Member
Problem is we need adult steps lol
comment of the day. Sorry for banter please
I would gather we got thru Sunday to watch these trends if we keep having these Jogs on the 3 main models we could have a reverse to a portion of SE fortunes. That moisture and southerly flow map is telling and promising
Oh good the NE gets hit. I'd hate for them to miss out
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Brett
Member
NE always gets snow lol makes me mad hahaOh good the NE gets hit. I'd hate for them to miss out
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