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Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special

It's harder to get storms to turn up the coastline like we'd want to see without any blocking over the North Atlantic, it's not a necessary element for winter storms in general but to get a healthy Miller A and to see this trend way NW and turn into a monster it most certainly is, otherwise the flow is usually too progressive and our storm gets pushed well offshore
 
We can say NYE/NYD threat is likely dead for most outside some light to the Western SE.

On the biggest threat, the CMC & Euro have a late bloomer with the Euro being aggressive with a potential phase.
 
Webberweather53 said:
It's harder to get storms to turn up the coastline like we'd want to see without any blocking over the North Atlantic, it's not a necessary element for winter storms in general but to get a healthy Miller A and to see this trend way NW and turn into a monster it most certainly is, otherwise the flow is usually too progressive and our storm gets pushed well offshore
Click to expand...

A -NAO here would be insane, but we have to play with what we are dealt. I'm happy to have these chances in an La Nina anyways. Better than where we are heading when the -EPO goes bye bye.
 
Brrrrrr. That's colder.
ecmwf_T850_seus_8.png
 
This storm turns into a bigger deal to our North, btw. It's not a direct OTS solution, even with that look at 5h we just saw.
 
Here is the same system that blooms late, up the coast:

image.png
 
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