Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special

[olhausen]

So what is the most snow anyone here has had??

12 inches in January of 2016.

Edit: You can see what it did to the trees in my profile picture on the left.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Any chance this thing phases in the gulf and not the Atlantic?

 

[Cary_Snow95]

Any chance this thing phases in the gulf and not the Atlantic?

2% chance. Very unlikely. This will be a late bloomer

 

[Cary_Snow95]

18z Nam is just a little faster so far. Really splitting hairs though. The energy in the east pac looks west at 18

 

[Brett]

Indeed it is. A couple more bumps like this and many in the Carolinas and SE VA will be in business...
View attachment 2463
That looks good needs to tick west a little more lol

 

[Clayton Reid]

18z Nam is just a little faster so far. Really splitting hairs though. The energy in the east pac looks west at 18

What is a little faster? The chaser or the lead wave?

 

[Cary_Snow95]

What is a little faster? The chaser or the lead wave?

Lead wave

 

[Brett]

12z EPS member stamps. Surprisingly there's actually more spread on the GEFS suite this run, won't see that too often.

View attachment 2466

Looks great 10 members have Good snow here

 

[SD]

Indeed it is. A couple more bumps like this and many in the Carolinas and SE VA will be in business...
View attachment 2463
View attachment 2464

I wouldn't be disappointed if we only got .2 of qpf ratios would certainly be a solid 12-15:1

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

 

[Clayton Reid]

Lead wave

Yeah, that's cutting it close with the east pacific a little west

 

[Tarheel1]

D to the T says, pattern does not support a coastal storm! He's out!
Surprising!?

 

[Brett]

D to the T says, pattern does not support a coastal storm! He's out!
Surprising!?

He is mad he's not getting snow that's how he gets lol

 

[Cary_Snow95]

Yeah, that's cutting it close with the east pacific a little west

Kinda cancels each other out. Faster with the lead wave but since the energy in the pac is west it has more room to dig back sw

 

[Clayton Reid]

Kinda cancels each other out. Faster with the lead wave but since the energy in the pac is west it has more room to dig back sw

Yeah, thats true. At least it can dig southwest more

 

[Webberweather53]

I wouldn't be disappointed if we only got .2 of qpf ratios would certainly be a solid 12-15:1

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

Easily 12-15:1, with surface temps ~25F you get 15:1 and it's possible we could be even colder than that during the event if it were to transpire in the first place

 

[Stormsfury]

12z EPS member stamps. Surprisingly there's actually more spread on the GEFS suite this run, won't see that too often.


View attachment 2466

View attachment 2465

With that spread too, 37 of 51 members have some accumulations in the SC Coastal Plain region...quite impressive. Last time I can remember on that many members was in the 2010 February event.

 

[Brett]

Easily 12-15:1, with surface temps ~25F you get 15:1 and it's possible we could be even colder than that during the event if it were to transpire in the first place

I wouldn't mind 15:1 that would be great

 

[Cary_Snow95]

Fwiw even though the nam is a little faster than its previous run, it is still slower than the GFS or CMC

 

[BHS1975]

The baroclinic zone is going to be beefy


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

The pattern actually does support an Atlantic bomb but who knows how far west it gets and how soon it occurs. May not be enough outside of East NC/Coastal SC/SE VA. Still, been interesting.