Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special

[ForsythSnow]

Nothing is off the table.

I would say that there are a few places that won't see anything, like TN, MS, AL and N GA. Basically last storm area and NW.

 

[Metwannabe]

Monster hit for MA and NE but oh so close around here too....

With this look I'd think the precip field would be a good bit west, at least eastern NC/SE Va....

 

[deltadog03]

I would say if we can get this further west, GA and Carolinas are in play

 

[RollTide18]

Nothing is off the table.

And a step and a half for you. And me.

And a full sprint for me, I'm just looking for flurries

 

[Stormsfury]

December 21st, 1989 reanalysis map.

12z GFS Jan 2nd

 

[deltadog03]

looks like somebody broke the CMC

 

[Clayton Reid]

Yep, I'm officially on board now haha, this is just so darn fickle but if we miraculously play everything right we'll hit the jackpot. A little extra dibatic heating in the NE Gulf would be nice so we can tilt this sucker negative more quickly...

I suppose this event is just out of the question for Atlanta..? Yeah I guess so just fantasy now?

 

[Webberweather53]

December 21st, 1989 reanalysis map.

12z GFS Jan 2nd

The high w/ the December 1989 event is waayyy stronger than this case which probably will shift the baroclinic zone NWward if the s/w placement is right

 

[Meteorologist1999]

I would say if we can get this further west, GA and Carolinas are in play

Could this possibly affect eastern South Carolina?

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

looks like somebody broke the CMC

Yeah lol it never fully ran and the one later frame has a massive bomb that is hurricane like in the NE.

 

[Cary_Snow95]

From the other board

 

[deltadog03]

**IF** we can keep the trends going and get back to something like it originally had, then GA and Carolinas would be in play yes...at this point, I don't know if we can fully get there.

 

[SD]

This run is super weenie hut general levels of weenie
:weenie::weenie::weenie::weenie::weenie::weenie::weenie::weenie::weenie::weenie::weenie:
View attachment 2448

The entire town of Fuquay knows I just saw this

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

 

[Cary_Snow95]

So from the limited panels I've seen, CMC should be a good bit west of the GFS

 

[DLI4SCwx]

**IF** we can keep the trends going and get back to something like it originally had, then GA and Carolinas would be in play yes...at this point, I don't know if we can fully get there.

Chris, exactly what are we needing in this setup? We need the chaser not be so fast and get timed right to connect,phase with the main wave? I think ideally we'd like this to phase on the Ala/Ga border for a more widespread event.

 

[Webberweather53]

Weatherbell GEFS member clown maps are almost out

 

[Cary_Snow95]

 

[Cary_Snow95]

The NE gets clobbered on the CMC

 

[ForsythSnow]

I suppose this event is just out of the question for Atlanta..? Yeah I guess so just fantasy now?

At furthest I think Macon. I can't see us getting anything up here unless this low is on the coast or phases in the N Central Gulf, which is beyond reality.

 

[Brett]

Hmm from the way it sounds like the UK is a hit for east NC/SE VA.

I'm glad to hear that I live in Suffolk