ummmm.....
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Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special
- Thread starter TheBatman
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LovingGulfLows
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Man if the NAM is right, folks in those areas are going to get destroyed. This is basically the comma head of the storm system forming on top of them. No doubt there will be some insane lift, stretching, and deformation-banding like features. Thundersnow reports will be common in some areas.
Holy cow...of course have to check soundings but this is for you Larry...NAM is not changing it's course, like others said I'd weigh more towards nam and short range guidance before global/ensembles at this point.
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Stormsfury
Member
Hr57 strong 500mb vorticity streak incoming!
slp closer to the coast, this precip shield will be more expansive to the NW no doubt..
I was wondering about the precip field, and how it was being so limited.
Jon
Member
Yep much more SW. not sure about precip over Nc are we ever sure?? There wasn’t much precip over Central Nc on the 12z..
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RollTide18
Member
More than likely but it has my attention for sure, especially more northward but south Alabama, who knows?.
Oh it's tryingslp closer to the coast, this precip shield will be more expansive to the NW no doubt..
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All In
Ahem...12z image.
Why isn't the precip. shield further West with the placement of the SLP where it is? Or, is that attributed to a feedback issue possibly?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
NAM tried to cut off....
Got south of lake Murray and just stopped
They would be plowing the Savannah Hwy for weeksHoly ----...of course have to check soundings but this is for you Larry...NAM is not changing it's course, like others said I'd weigh more towards nam and short range guidance before global/ensembles at this point.
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The pivotal maps are much more appetizing
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B
Brick Tamland
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It's coming. This reminds me of Jan 2000 so much.Umm yeah much better.... lol
Heh if that is right, someone gets 2ft.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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That wierd speckly /convection that was in the Atlantic on previous runs, are now into GA/SCNAM tried to cut off....
LovingGulfLows
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NAM says congrats to those along the GA/SC border. Spitting out over a foot of snow depth by hour 63. Historic snowstorm.
Wow
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What do that means?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Couldn't agree more... Just about everything from the surface reflection, dependency on latent heating, to the mid-upper level synoptic-scale flow. Sure the heaviest axis of snow will be different but you couldn't draw it up much closer than this imo
RollTide18
Member
Avalanche
Member
That imagery looks just like Jan 2000. Negative tilt, moisture feed moving from ene to ssw, convective bands. Please!!!!!!!
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Good lord.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
The NAM is getting into its wheelhouse too, either it's smoking weed or everything else is wrong.
She's a beaut clark
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Webb just got NAM'd
BHS1975
Member
Where’s Shane?
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Wow big hit for the Carolinas congrats guys. !!
8 inches in CAE... dude
BHS1975
Member
I mean SD
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Mr. Grinch is the Shane. Lol
Still snowing at the end of the run.... must... contain... excitment
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Coming north just like the Crusher. I think the totals are going to be higher for us like it was then.She's a beaut clark
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RollTide18
Member
Good lord again...
West shift apparent on NAM
RDUHeatIsland
Member
Once we overcome the low level dry layer rates are insane on the 3km NAM... around 2" an hour across a big portion of NC.
LovingGulfLows
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That's the type of heavy snow rates the Northeast/Mid Atlantic gets during their bombing nor-easters. 3-4 inch per hour rates won't be out of the question if the NAM verifies.