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Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special

This is from Eric’s write up on the Carolina Crusher. Do the models seem to be trending towards a similar look?

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Mr. Grinch said:
One thing I learned from january and December 2000 these late blooming coastals can trend until the 0 hour

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With a low of that strength, definitely. Maybe it can get close to riding the coast. Maybe there is still potential for a board wide event if the energy becomes neutral further west and south. I hope it can effect more areas, but I may just be dreaming. For now, this looks like a South GA, SC, and E NC event.
 
ForsythSnow said:
With a low of that strength, definitely. Maybe it can get close to riding the coast. Maybe there is still potential for a board wide event if the energy becomes neutral further west and south. I hope it can effect more areas, but I may just be dreaming. For now, this looks like a South GA, SC, and E NC event.
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It's painful to watch. If the trailing shortwave catches up and phases it certainly increases the odds of significant precip farther west. If it doesn't it's wide right for the most part with a little snow on the beaches

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Mr. Grinch said:
It's painful to watch. If the trailing shortwave catches up and phases it certainly increases the odds of significant precip farther west. If it doesn't it's wide right for the most part with a little snow on the beaches

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Let's all hope it phases sooner and we all get snow!!
 
Yes, of course we know the models of the day never had the Crusher, and the 2010 storm I remember the Euro had it about 5-6 days out, then whiffed on it until about 2 Days out. I don’t remember if the GFS even had it at all until just right before storm time.
 
Mr. Grinch said:
It's painful to watch. If the trailing shortwave catches up and phases it certainly increases the odds of significant precip farther west. If it doesn't it's wide right for the most part with a little snow on the beaches

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It has the Christmas Eve snow storm of 1989 feel to me, coast got hammered and I got a trace... I do like the trends however
 
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