Stormsfury
Member
Both waves smidge west both stronger.Good points...chaser wave is getting pretty close by hr 60
Both waves smidge west both stronger.Good points...chaser wave is getting pretty close by hr 60
Looking much better for sure. However, we are running out of time, so let's see these pieces get together in the next 4 runs or very close and then you guys will be in business!Both the trailing wave and our main s/w have both slowed down and the trough south of Atlantic Canada is speeding up, both good signs
We've been headed back in the right direction since last night's crappy 0z suite. We're gonna need more of this where it came from
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More good tilt at hr 66 on main wave and chaser is diving intoLead wave a smidge west of 06z
Canadian showing snow for all of southern Louisiana on wed. If I'm looking at it correctly.
Yep we need adult steps like this from the Canadian to give us a really good shot in central NC
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CMC may try and suck in some in MS or AL if it keeps trending that blob of moisture north each run.Yes, congrats New Orleans lol
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Living on a prayer here in CAE.Yep we need adult steps like this from the Canadian to give us a really good shot in central NC
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CMC may try and suck in some in MS or AL if it keeps trending that blob of moisture north each run.
GFS absolutely crapped the SFC low placement again though.
Hr78 IR Sat.
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I agree 100% IMHO they are all, but trending better. I think there couild be a low pop in the GOM and then ride over FL to the gulf stream. Thats where the best baroclinic ribbon is and where we should see the best height falls tooGFS absolutely crapped the SFC low placement again though.
Hr78 IR Sat.
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GFS absolutely crapped the SFC low placement again though.
Hr78 IR Sat.
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So over those blobs you all are talking about, from what is reflecting on the model output, what you all are saying is that it would seem more precip should be getting thrown back into the Carolina's? Just trying to learn a little here.Definitely very strange to see no precipitation underneath those deep Cb clouds over the Carolinas on the GFS, yet the low-topped convection over the Atlantic is spitting out heavy precip. Even if you account for differences in brightness temperature due to the cooler temps over the adjacent continental landmass that still doesnt look right
Perfectly good question with no veracious answer ...Oh NAM why are you trolling Phil and Larry?
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Just looking at H5 maps I would think there should be a stripe of precip from LA, southern MS southern AL, southern GA and into the Carolinas *need a bit better phase quicker* *its trending that way* and I think it could trend that way.
For anyone around during hurricane season, they would know that the GFS overdoes low pressure strength. Also, it just does it in general. Knock off about 30 mb and it's reasonable.A 947 L dead in the middle of winter in the northern Atlantic, even though it's probably a bit overestimated, is silly.
The EPS from a few days ago actually had a 947 mb low in the N Atlantic.A 947 L dead in the middle of winter in the northern Atlantic, even though it's probably a bit overestimated, is silly.
For anyone around during hurricane season, they would know that the GFS overdoes low pressure strength. Also, it just does it in general. Knock off about 30 mb and it's reasonable.
Yeah there was a lot of it even further inland into Atlanta, Birmingham and even as far as Chattanooga on earlier frames.There's a butload of mid-upper level moisture over the Carolinas (even in the DGZ) in spite of no precipitation being observed at the ground on this GFS run.
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How far NW could that moisture make it? Could all of SC and even most of central GA see something with that? I still don't expect anything, just wondering.There's a butload of mid-upper level moisture over the Carolinas (even in the DGZ) in spite of no precipitation being observed at the ground on this GFS run.
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